Cool Crisp Conditions Expected (Sept 29-Oct 1)

Cool Crisp Conditions Expected (Sept 29-Oct 1)

Jonathan Carr 🕔11:42, 29.Sep 2017

Who’s ready for some hoodie weather? Discussion: This entire weekend and most of next week will be under high pressure control. A pesky upper-level disturbance is expected to move through late Friday night through Saturday afternoon. This could bring some

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LBI Chowderfest Forecast – This Weekend!

LBI Chowderfest Forecast – This Weekend!

Jonathan Carr 🕔15:22, 27.Sep 2017

Weather NJ is proud to provide a special event forecast for the 29th annual LBI Chowderfest this weekend! This family fun festival features live music, craft vendors, activities and unlimited Chowder tasting with the opportunity for each ticket holder to vote for their

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Hot Start Cool Finish (Sept 25-29)

Hot Start Cool Finish (Sept 25-29)

Jonathan Carr 🕔11:41, 25.Sep 2017

Discussion: Jose is gone, even the system’s upper-level energy. We’re left with the decaying stubborn ridge over NE US/SE Canada that will take time to break down completely. Therefore, the current warm and muggy temperatures should gradually step down through

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Sept 23: Maria to Miss New Jersey

Sept 23: Maria to Miss New Jersey

Jonathan Carr 🕔16:06, 23.Sep 2017

Discussion: The 12Z model suite today unanimously initialized with good agreement on live-observations, especially with respect to the 250-500mb flow around the approaching trough. Therefore, I’m confident in serious upper-level E/NE (out to sea) steering currents north of the 35N

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Sept 22: East Coast Concerns Remain

Sept 22: East Coast Concerns Remain

Jonathan Carr 🕔14:42, 22.Sep 2017

Discussion: There is no doubt a westward trend of Maria’s expected track on most model guidance today, especially when comparing to last night and yesterday’s model suites. Let’s talk present before talking future. Here are the current vitals from the

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Hot Weather Expected (Sept 22-24)

Hot Weather Expected (Sept 22-24)

Jonathan Carr 🕔20:17, 21.Sep 2017

A warm, sunny and humid weekend is expected while we watch Hurricane Maria. Let’s break it down… Friday (Sept 22) high temperatures should reach 80 for most with interior CNJ/SNJ possibly taking a run at mid-to-upper 80s. I wouldn’t be

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Sept 20: US Landfall Not Off Table

Sept 20: US Landfall Not Off Table

Jonathan Carr 🕔17:03, 20.Sep 2017

Discussion: Up until yesterday, most long-range model guidance was grim with respect to Maria and the US East Coast. Most had a direct landfall for the SE US. Yesterday there were signs of improvement as about half of the models

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Sept 18: Watching Hurricane Maria Closely

Sept 18: Watching Hurricane Maria Closely

Jonathan Carr 🕔20:42, 18.Sep 2017

Discussion: Let’s address the immediate issues with Jose real quick. Jose is currently crossing the 35N latitude (same latitude as OBX). From this point and northward, Jose is will pass over colder water which will finish the extra-tropical transition process

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Wet and Windy Start (Sept 18-22)

Wet and Windy Start (Sept 18-22)

Jonathan Carr 🕔16:27, 17.Sep 2017

Discussion: You’re probably going to hear about tropical storm watches/warnings issued for the Jersey coast soon. Here are my latest thoughts. Jose will have tremendous influence on our weather for the start of this week. Even though Jose’s center of circulation

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Warm and Sunny before Jose Influence (Sept 16-17)

Warm and Sunny before Jose Influence (Sept 16-17)

Jonathan Carr 🕔14:25, 15.Sep 2017

Weekend Discussion: Between high pressure moving across Maine/Nova Scotia and Jose moving up the coast, a tight wind gradient should develop by the end of the weekend. For Saturday and Sunday we’re likely just looking at light winds out of

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