Jan 31: Weather Update

Jan 31: Weather Update

Jonathan Carr 🕔15:06, 31.Jan 2018

Discussion: I apologize for being offline for the last few days. I wanted to wait until today’s 12Z model suite populated to confirm the changes I’ve been seeing for the upcoming storm signals. They are as follows: Thursday Night into

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Wintry Conditions Possible (Jan 29-Feb 2)

Wintry Conditions Possible (Jan 29-Feb 2)

Jonathan Carr 🕔18:53, 28.Jan 2018

Discussion: A cold front is pressing SE-ward ahead of a transient trough of cold air. Monday’s highs will be reached early in the morning and temps fall from there. The trough should keep us on the colder side Monday PM

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Jan 27: Weather Update

Jan 27: Weather Update

Jonathan Carr 🕔17:34, 27.Jan 2018

Discussion: This coming week will feature several atmospheric periods of interest. It looks like we are keying in on the following action… Sunday (Jan 28) rain: A slower cold front will push rain through most of the region from NW to

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Moderation ahead of Wintry Potential (Jan 26-28)

Moderation ahead of Wintry Potential (Jan 26-28)

Jonathan Carr 🕔13:26, 25.Jan 2018

Discussion: From a 500mb perspective we should bounce between transient periods of above and below-average height anomalies from now until next weekend. This should bring us transient alternating periods of cold and moderation at the surface. This weekend looks relatively

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Jan 23: The Return of Winter

Jan 23: The Return of Winter

Jonathan Carr 🕔18:48, 23.Jan 2018

Discussion: This is a long range article about how the overall pattern is expected to return to colder and snowier conditions for February. This is not a detailed forecast for your back yard for a specific event in early February.

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Mixed Conditions Expected (Jan 22-26)

Mixed Conditions Expected (Jan 22-26)

Jonathan Carr 🕔12:00, 22.Jan 2018

Discussion: Rainfall this week should end by tomorrow afternoon/early-evening with a cold front. Today should see a break in the precipitation once the warm front pushes N. Rain should then approach tonight from the W ahead of the cold front

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January Thaw Commences

January Thaw Commences

Jonathan Carr 🕔11:46, 19.Jan 2018

Discussion: These next 5 days should be the most prolonged January thaw period of the month. From now until about Wednesday we’re going to moderate as high pressure, sliding by to our S into the Atlantic Ocean, re-enforces a milder

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Jan 16: Snow Update

Jan 16: Snow Update

Jonathan Carr 🕔16:44, 16.Jan 2018

Discussion: The cold front is slowly approaching from the W and extreme NNJ is underway with snowfall. The front will slowly push to the SE between tonight and tomorrow. By midnight tonight, snowfall should continue its creep SE into the

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Jan 15: Final Call Snow Map

Jan 15: Final Call Snow Map

Jonathan Carr 🕔17:08, 15.Jan 2018

Click here to view full resolution snow map! Discussion: A frontal boundary attached to a Great Lakes low pressure system will slowly push across New Jersey. This frontal boundary will feature wintry precipitation along it and will slowly pivot from

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Cold Wintry Week Expected (Jan 15-19)

Cold Wintry Week Expected (Jan 15-19)

Jonathan Carr 🕔11:45, 15.Jan 2018

Discussion: Temperatures are easy to discuss this week. We’re cold Monday-Friday and then we start to warm up this coming weekend into next week. The upper-level energy and how it translates to surface precipitation is a bit trickier. Heading into

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