Feb 28: Strong Nor’easter Expected!

Feb 28: Strong Nor’easter Expected!

Jonathan Carr 🕔17:00, 28.Feb 2018

Rain Map: Please click here for full-resolution rain map! Wind Map: Please click here for full-resolution wind map! Snow Map: Please click here for full-resolution snow map! Discussion: I’m finding it very difficult to get a handle on the coastal flooding

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Feb 26: Coastal Storm Detected

Feb 26: Coastal Storm Detected

Jonathan Carr 🕔19:59, 26.Feb 2018

Discussion: I’ve been watching this tremendous blocking pattern evolve and unfold for a while now. There is no doubt it’s coming. As a quick refresher, blocking is represented by a negative-phased state of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO). It means

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Dry Start. Wet and Windy Finish (Feb 26-Mar 2)

Dry Start. Wet and Windy Finish (Feb 26-Mar 2)

Jonathan Carr 🕔22:10, 25.Feb 2018

Discussion: Monday through Thursday AM is fairly straight-forward. Passing high pressure should have complete control of the region underneath a building ridge of upper-level heights. This means dry, sunny and relatively mild weather for NJ from Monday through Thursday morning.

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Wet Conditions Expected (Feb 23-25)

Wet Conditions Expected (Feb 23-25)

Jonathan Carr 🕔19:31, 22.Feb 2018

Discussion: A near-stationary Bermuda high will allow multiple disturbances to rotate around its NW quadrant through NJ this weekend. This should produce on-and-off periods of rainfall through Sunday afternoon/evening. There’s a little concern for icing in the NNJ elevations on

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Mild Conditions Expected (Feb 19-23)

Mild Conditions Expected (Feb 19-23)

Jonathan Carr 🕔13:02, 19.Feb 2018

Discussion: The main upper-level player for this week is a strong building ridge over the E US. A slow moving Bermuda high should pump this ridge with return flow. This pattern is more typical of mid-summer and it should last

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Feb 17: Final Call For Weekend Snow

Feb 17: Final Call For Weekend Snow

Jonathan Carr 🕔12:09, 17.Feb 2018

Click here to view full-resolution snow map! Discussion: We’ve made a few tweaks based on live observations and the latest guidance data. Temperatures dropped below freezing statewide early this morning as expected. Warm air advection however has already spread into

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Feb 16: Winter Storm Approaching

Feb 16: Winter Storm Approaching

Jonathan Carr 🕔17:07, 16.Feb 2018

Click here for full-resolution impact map! Discussion: We’ve beaten this system to death now. It’s a weak wave traversing a frontal boundary that will first be pushed to our S overnight tonight and then brought back up into NJ tomorrow.

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Feb 15: First Call Weekend Snow Map

Feb 15: First Call Weekend Snow Map

Jonathan Carr 🕔16:42, 15.Feb 2018

Click here for full-resolution impact map! Discussion: Not much has changed since last night’s article. We have a weak coastal low tracking close to SENJ. That’s going to put zone A and B in the most probable zone for a

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Feb 14: Watching Weekend Snow Potential

Feb 14: Watching Weekend Snow Potential

Jonathan Carr 🕔20:46, 14.Feb 2018

Discussion: Passing scattered rain showers with isolated downpours are possible overnight tonight followed by a very mild Thursday into Friday. We’re talking highs into the 60s. More rain showers are expected Friday ahead of the cold front but then we drop.

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Mixed Conditions Expected (Feb 12-16)

Mixed Conditions Expected (Feb 12-16)

Jonathan Carr 🕔18:34, 11.Feb 2018

Discussion: Our washout rain system is just about finished. A slow-to-exit boundary likely means more rainfall along and SE of I-95 through mid-to-late morning on Monday. After that we’re dry and relatively mild until about Thursday. Between Thursday and Friday

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