Warm Humid Start. Comfortable Finish (Sept 21-23)

Warm Humid Start. Comfortable Finish (Sept 21-23)

Jonathan Carr 🕔13:59, 20.Sep 2018

Discussion: Upper-level ridging, currently over the E US, should be flattened by a shallow upper-level Canadian disturbance this weekend. At the surface this should produce a warm and humid Friday running into the first part of Saturday. By Saturday evening,

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30th LBI “Chowderfest” – Next Weekend!

30th LBI “Chowderfest” – Next Weekend!

Jonathan Carr 🕔14:48, 19.Sep 2018

Weather NJ is proud and honored, at the request of Southern Ocean County Chamber of Commerce, to provide a special event forecast for the 30th annual LBI Chowderfest next weekend (Saturday and Sunday, September 29-30)! This family fun festival features live music, craft

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Wet Start to the Week (Sept 17-21)

Wet Start to the Week (Sept 17-21)

Jonathan Carr 🕔18:30, 16.Sep 2018

Discussion: Florence has been nearly stationary under the ridge all weekend with no escape path until now. Finally the jet stream will pick up Florence’s remnants and take them over the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast US between Monday and Tuesday. For

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Side Effects of Florence (Sept 14-16)

Side Effects of Florence (Sept 14-16)

Jonathan Carr 🕔17:49, 13.Sep 2018

Discussion: Hurricane Florence is stuck directly under the ridge now as it crawls into coastal NC. A slow-to-depart upper-level low to the SW of Florence resulted in some weakening yesterday. That and a failed Eye Wall Replacement Cycle (EWRC). For

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The Makers Festival to Rock Manahawkin Again

The Makers Festival to Rock Manahawkin Again

Jonathan Carr 🕔12:53, 12.Sep 2018

Weather NJ is proud to provide a special event forecast for the 4th Annual Makers Festival this weekend. The event is this Saturday, September 15th from 10AM to 6PM at Manahawkin Lake Park in Manahawkin, NJ. Free Admission to Festival Grounds. $10

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Sept 11: Florence to Spare New Jersey

Sept 11: Florence to Spare New Jersey

Jonathan Carr 🕔16:45, 11.Sep 2018

Discussion: I’ve seen enough to remove the landfall potential for New Jersey and likely even Delmarva. I’m 90%-plus confident that landfall will occur between the SC/NC border and Cape Lookout, NC (the track indicated in the above cover image). I

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Sept 10: Dangerous East Coast Impact Likely

Sept 10: Dangerous East Coast Impact Likely

Jonathan Carr 🕔20:27, 10.Sep 2018

Discussion: Major Hurricane Florence is packing 140mph sustained winds with a central pressure below 940mb now. This category 4 hurricane is currently located at 25.4N 61.1W and moving W/NW at 13mph per the National Hurricane Center. Little shear and warm

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Sept 9: East Coast Landfall Likely

Sept 9: East Coast Landfall Likely

Jonathan Carr 🕔17:14, 9.Sep 2018

Discussion: Per the latest 5pm update from the National Hurricane Center, Hurricane Florence is now located at ~24.4N 57W and moving W at 7mph. Flight recon shows a central pressure of 975mb and sustained winds of 85mph. The hopeful escape to

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Sept 8: Concerns Grow for East Coast Landfall

Sept 8: Concerns Grow for East Coast Landfall

Jonathan Carr 🕔16:27, 8.Sep 2018

Discussion: Florence is now located at ~25N 55W (~700 miles SE of Bermuda) and moving very slowly to the W. It is still a strong tropical storm but expected to re-intensify into a hurricane as early as overnight tonight but

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Sept 6: Florence Threat Increasing

Sept 6: Florence Threat Increasing

Jonathan Carr 🕔21:49, 6.Sep 2018

Discussion: Florence, currently located at 25N 49.6W, has taken a substantial beating from the wind shear mentioned in last night’s article. There’s a chance it might even dip down to Tropical Storm status overnight into tomorrow. Unfortunately this is not

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