Aug 10: Widespread Rainfall Detected!

Jonathan Carr
By Jonathan Carr August 10, 2015 09:51

Aug 10: Widespread Rainfall Detected!

A low pressure disturbance will track through the Great Lakes/NY State region tomorrow before continuing through the rest of New England. This will help push a series of frontal boundaries through New Jersey today and tomorrow. Not much action is expected along today’s warm front but widespread rainfall is expected ahead of the cold front late tonight well into tomorrow. Let’s look at the latest GFS 850mb map for timing:

Early Tuesday AM Hours:

gfs

Tuesday Afternoon-Evening:

gfs

Early Wednesday AM Hours:

gfs

Total Precipitation through Wednesday AM:

gfs

In English: There exists only a small chance of isolated showers and thunderstorms today. Most of us should see a dry day. The heaviest rainfall should occur between later tonight and tomorrow night. My gut tells me that between .5 and 1.5 inches of rain should fall when all is said and done. Also, embedded thunderstorms are possible within the rainfall but should stay below severe criteria (isolated rolling thunder). Everything should clear out by late Wednesday morning as the cold front pushes through for a couple of Fall-tasting days (cooler temperatures, lower humidity and NW flow) heading into the weekend. Be safe! JC

Model images used with permission from WeatherBell Analytics.

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Jonathan Carr
By Jonathan Carr August 10, 2015 09:51

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