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Posts From Jonathan Carr

March 1: Significant Snowfall Detected!

March 1: Significant Snowfall Detected! Updated

Jonathan Carr 🕔16:50, 1.Mar 2019

Click here for full-resolution snow map! Discussion:  Wave #2 will move through tonight bringing snow along and NW of the NJTP/I-95 corridor and rain SE of such. All attention will then turn to the largest of the three events Sunday

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March 1: System Two Approaches

March 1: System Two Approaches

Jonathan Carr 🕔13:08, 1.Mar 2019

Click here for full-resolution snow map! Discussion:  A weak upper-level jet and unfavorable environment remains at 500mb for tonight’s system. A low however will form and eject off N OBX and pass to the SE of NJ overnight. The onshore flow

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Unsettled Conditions Expected (March 1-3)

Unsettled Conditions Expected (March 1-3)

Jonathan Carr 🕔20:18, 28.Feb 2019

Three separate systems should move through the region between late tonight and Monday. The first two are weak. The first could time poorly with Friday AM rush hour. The third may be something to watch. Let’s break down each one:

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Feb 27: Friday AM Snow Detected

Feb 27: Friday AM Snow Detected

Jonathan Carr 🕔16:36, 27.Feb 2019

Discussion: The current NNJ wintry disturbance is performing light as expected. The first wave came through earlier today and we are now in the expected lull. The second wave of NNJ snow is expected later this evening and into early tomorrow

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Feb 26: Light Snow Targeting NNJ

Feb 26: Light Snow Targeting NNJ

Jonathan Carr 🕔17:11, 26.Feb 2019

Click here for full-resolution snow map! Discussion: From the upper-levels, there’s nothing to write home about. We have a very flat and zonal flow across the US and therefore tomorrow’s disturbance will be a quick mover. There should be two waves

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Colder Conditions Expected (Feb 25-Mar 1)

Colder Conditions Expected (Feb 25-Mar 1)

Jonathan Carr 🕔19:29, 24.Feb 2019

Discussion: The powerful Great Lakes storm is currently pushing a cold front through NJ with the high winds tonight and tomorrow. This will lower 500mb geopotential heights for the time being but the upper-level flow looks very zonal (flat across

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Feb 24: Wind Storm Approaching

Feb 24: Wind Storm Approaching

Jonathan Carr 🕔11:37, 24.Feb 2019

Discussion: Upper-level energy has aggressively tracked across the US from SW to NE. This upper-level energy is powering a strong surface low which has just tracked through the Great Lakes and will continue towards SE Canada. The low currently has a centralized

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Mixed Weather Conditions (Feb 22-24)

Mixed Weather Conditions (Feb 22-24)

Jonathan Carr 🕔20:34, 21.Feb 2019

Saturday Update (12:30pm 2/23/2019): Light to moderate rain should begin this evening by (6pm for SNJ, 8pm for CNJ, 9pm for NNJ). A break is then expected between about midnight and 4am tomorrow morning. A heavier batch of rain should

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Feb 20: Update

Feb 20: Update

Jonathan Carr 🕔15:28, 20.Feb 2019

Discussion: The front-end snow phase of this system is coming to an end. Precipitation has become very light but still existent. Not heavy enough to sustain mid-daylight hour accumulations. Therefore whatever you have snow-wise now is likely it. Snowfall performed slightly

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Feb 19: Winter Storm Approaching

Feb 19: Winter Storm Approaching

Jonathan Carr 🕔16:54, 19.Feb 2019

  UPDATE: We’ve made a few small tweaks to the snow map as live-casting begins. We’ve removed the locally higher amounts language from all zones and opened up the lower-end boundary of the jackpot zone (B). Example: Zone B is

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