Back to homepage

Posts From Jonathan Carr

Jan 9: Weekend Snow Detected

Jan 9: Weekend Snow Detected

Jonathan Carr 🕔19:33, 9.Jan 2019

Discussion: Changes in the western Pacific ocean indicate a more active pattern from about January 20 and forward into February. It takes about two weeks for downstream-propagation for such changes to reach the E US. We’re not there yet, including this

Read Full Article
Jan 7: Wintry Threat for NNJ Tonight

Jan 7: Wintry Threat for NNJ Tonight

Jonathan Carr 🕔14:00, 7.Jan 2019

Discussion: It’s no secret that last night was cold and temperatures have struggled to climb today. For the areas of expected wintry impact overnight tonight temperatures have failed to climb above freezing today. For the lower 2/3 of NJ temperatures are

Read Full Article
Winter Returns (Jan 7-11)

Winter Returns (Jan 7-11)

Jonathan Carr 🕔18:59, 6.Jan 2019

Discussion: Tonight’s temperatures should bottom out pretty low. Monday should warm as light precipitation moves in for Monday night into Tuesday morning. There’s some wintry precip concern for NNJ as precip arrives Monday night. Everyone else should see all rain.

Read Full Article
Rainy Start. Cold Finish (Jan 4-6)

Rainy Start. Cold Finish (Jan 4-6)

Jonathan Carr 🕔12:55, 4.Jan 2019

Discussion: A cut-off upper level low will track from Texas over Virginia into the Atlantic Ocean. A corresponding surface low will track just to the north of the ULL through Kentucky, Virginia and ultimately over New Jersey. The upper-level flow

Read Full Article
January Discussion with WeatherTrends360

January Discussion with WeatherTrends360

Jonathan Carr 🕔15:19, 2.Jan 2019

It’s time to harness the WeatherTrends360 proprietary weather algorithms to see howthe rest of January 2019 should play out. But first lets break New Jersey into climatologically-similar regions. We have the higher elevations of NNJ/NWNJ, the interior coastal plain and Newark Basin (SWNJ through

Read Full Article
Snow Cravings Continue (Dec 31-Jan 4)

Snow Cravings Continue (Dec 31-Jan 4)

Jonathan Carr 🕔21:00, 30.Dec 2018

Discussion: There is no point in sugar coating it. 2019 will end mild and wet and the first week or two of January also looks relatively mild. For those who dislike snow this should come as good news. For the

Read Full Article
Mild Wet Start Cold Dry Finish (Dec 28-30)

Mild Wet Start Cold Dry Finish (Dec 28-30)

Jonathan Carr 🕔11:26, 28.Dec 2018

Discussion: Above-average upper-level geopotential height anomalies will continue to dominate the pattern today (Friday) and most of Saturday. Heights should relax into a transient zonal pattern for Sunday before rebuilding to start next week. This means mild and wet today

Read Full Article
Dec 27: Rainstorm Approaching

Dec 27: Rainstorm Approaching

Jonathan Carr 🕔17:57, 27.Dec 2018

Discussion: An area of high pressure is departing the ~Maine area as low pressure cuts through the Great Lakes behind it. This should set up a warm sector rain event for most of Friday. The line of precipitation appears pretty thin

Read Full Article
Cold and Dry for the Holidays (Dec 24-28)

Cold and Dry for the Holidays (Dec 24-28)

Jonathan Carr 🕔11:05, 24.Dec 2018

Discussion: The upper levels appear flat/zonal through this week and into the weekend. At the surface high pressure should slowly float through the E US from Monday through most of Thursday. That should keep temps near-average under dry conditions. I

Read Full Article
Colder Drier Conditions Expected (Dec 21-23)

Colder Drier Conditions Expected (Dec 21-23)

Jonathan Carr 🕔12:11, 21.Dec 2018

Discussion: We continue to monitor a Sudden Stratospheric Warming Event (SSWE) over the Arctic Ocean. Over the next few days we’re really going to see 10mb (stratospheric) height anomalies flex up that way. This squashes the tropospheric Polar Vortex (PV)

Read Full Article

Current Weather in NJ

giweather wordpress widget