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Posts From Jonathan Carr

Mild and Unsettled Pattern

Mild and Unsettled Pattern

🕔14:29, 26.Feb 2024

Discussion: We’ve definitely left the E US trough pattern and will now settle into mostly an E US ridge pattern with a few troughs just grazing NJ with it’s S tip. This will force most low pressure systems to track

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Rain Clears for a Cold Dry Weekend

Rain Clears for a Cold Dry Weekend

🕔14:57, 23.Feb 2024

Discussion: A trough will swing through the E US this weekend after this evening’s rain moves out. This will keep the weekend colder for NJ with the coldest point likely occurring just before sunrise Sunday morning. The trough then moves

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Colder Dry Start. Milder Wet Finish.

Colder Dry Start. Milder Wet Finish.

🕔14:30, 19.Feb 2024

Discussion: We’re still dealing with a colder air mass that was pulled down behind Saturday morning’s system. The sun angle, however, is climbing daily and really starts to show its ugly face (to the snow lover) from now through the

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Storm Recap and Next Snow Chance

Storm Recap and Next Snow Chance

🕔13:15, 17.Feb 2024

Discussion: Running a little slow today as I stayed up way too late for a neighborhood walk in the heavy snow. As a snow lover at heart, it was well worth it, but boy do I need the coffee today!

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Snow for All of New Jersey Tomorrow

Snow for All of New Jersey Tomorrow

🕔15:55, 16.Feb 2024

Discussion: Not too long ago, I was assured by a few followers that there would be no more snow in New Jersey for the rest of winter. Sorry, but it doesn’t work that way. Runs can be scored just as

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Saturday Morning Snow a GO in New Jersey

Saturday Morning Snow a GO in New Jersey Updated

🕔16:56, 15.Feb 2024

Discussion: There’s not a while lot to say about this Saturday morning. Some call this kind of system a weak sliding wave, a southern slider, or sometimes a “South Jersey Express.” Well, this is going to be more like a

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Saturday Morning Snow Developing

Saturday Morning Snow Developing

🕔16:38, 14.Feb 2024

Discussion: Today (Wednesday) has a much colder feel to it especially with the winds. Most areas (less the immediate ECNJ/SENJ coasts) are struggling to break out of the 30s. Tonight we’ll dip into the 20s and ultimately bottom-out in the

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More Snow Detected for New Jersey

More Snow Detected for New Jersey

🕔15:17, 13.Feb 2024

Discussion: The last flakes have cleared the coast, and this storm is history. What an incredibly challenging storm to forecast. The entire E US felt like it had a million moving parts in the atmosphere. Nothing big, solid, or easy

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Snowstorm Approaching New Jersey

Snowstorm Approaching New Jersey Updated

🕔15:56, 12.Feb 2024

Discussion: You can roll up yesterday’s first call snow map and throw it in the garbage. The trend northward in model guidance that occurred between Saturday and Sunday morning juked everyone out of their socks including us and even the

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North Jersey Winter Storm Developing

North Jersey Winter Storm Developing Updated

🕔14:56, 11.Feb 2024

Discussion: After a lengthy analysis of this thread-the-needle system, we are ready to make an actual forecast. I’m going to start this article the same way I did the last two…with an expectation set. 1 – This storm is still

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