Beautiful Weekend Expected (June 24-26)

Jonathan Carr
By Jonathan Carr June 24, 2016 13:28

Beautiful Weekend Expected (June 24-26)

SNJ is dealing with some clouds and isolated pop-ups today but the weekend is looking great otherwise.

Disco: The frontal boundary, which kept the region unsettled this week, is now moving south as a cold front. It’s already over Delmarva and will be further driven south by high pressure currently approaching from the W/NW. The catch for today is that the front is still close enough to touch off some isolated showers and thunderstorms in the lower half of New Jersey. Dew point temperatures are fairly dry in NNJ and given the further proximity from the cold front, will likely see little to no rain today. SNJ however still has dew points in the upper-60s/lower-70s and onshore flow is keeping the skies overcast. So I expect drifting cells from W to E across SNJ today followed by a nice weekend starting overnight tonight. Let’s break it down:

Friday (June 24) high temperatures should reach into the 80s away from the ocean. Coastal regions should be held in the 70s. Skies should less cloudy for NNJ but cloudy for SNJ with the chance for isolated showers and thunderstorms. Winds should be light out of the E. Overnight lows should fall into the upper-50s for NNJ elevations and 60s for the rest of New Jersey.

Saturday (June 25) high temperatures should reach the mid-to-upper 80s away from the ocean and mid-70s along the coast. Skies should be mostly sunny with lower humidity. Winds should be light out of the E/SE. Overnight lows should fall into the upper-50s/lower-60s statewide (maybe lower-50s for NNJ elevations).

Sunday (June 26) high temperatures should reach the mid-to-upper 80s away from the ocean. Breaking 90 is possible. Coastal regions should be held to the mid-70s. Skies should be mostly sunny. Humidity will begin trickling in from the S but the day should still have a pleasant feel. Overnight lows should fall into the upper-50s/lower-60s statewide.

Notes of Interest: With the onshore flow, the extreme coast is subject to air temperatures similar to ocean surface temperatures. They were reduced this week back into the low-to-mid 60s but should warm this weekend back into the upper-60s with the onshore flow passing over a very warm gulf stream. With that said, beach conditions should be comfortable with chilly swimming waters. Rip currents are acting up this weekend also so please be careful! Star gazing conditions should be decent after twilight and while the moon is still below the horizon (from about 10PM until ~midnight).

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An early look at next week indicates a mostly nice day on Monday with a possible cold frontal passage Monday night (showers and storms). After that another area of high pressure should dominate the week with warm and drier conditions (not good for drought). I will put the 4th of July holiday weekend forecast out Wednesday night. There is no sense speculating on specific conditions this far out. About all I’m comfortable saying is that there are no major systems modeled and that the warm, but not super hot, theme should continue into July.

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Jonathan Carr
By Jonathan Carr June 24, 2016 13:28

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