Bertha: Close But No Cigar

Jonathan Carr
By Jonathan Carr August 5, 2014 09:18

Bertha: Close But No Cigar

Yesterday, Bertha was upgraded to a category 1 hurricane but has since been downgraded back to a tropical storm. Today she will parallel coastal Jersey about 300 miles offshore before turning to the northeast and moving out for good. Here’s the high-res NAM showing her expected location and precipitation at 10AM (close to current obs at this point):

Weather NJ obs Bertha
There will be zero impact for New Jersey on land. We’ll deal with a cold front and associated showers/storms approaching from the W/NW tomorrow night but that has nothing to do with Bertha. The only impact from Bertha will be intensified surf and rip currents along the immediate coast today and tomorrow. Be careful and pay attention to lifeguards. Otherwise, surf should be up with summery conditions on the beach. By tomorrow night, she will be long gone. Here’s the most recent spaghetti plot from WeatherBell Analytics:

Weather NJ spaghetti plot
There exists just a small chance of isolated showers and thunderstorms this afternoon-evening. There’s a much better chance for such tomorrow. Once the cold front moves through Tomorrow night, we’re in for arguably the best feeling weather of the year which should last through the weekend. Be safe and have a great day!

Model images reproduced with permission from WeatherBell Analytics.

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Jonathan Carr
By Jonathan Carr August 5, 2014 09:18

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