Feb 15: Tuesday Snow Storm Detected!

Jonathan Carr
By Jonathan Carr February 15, 2015 12:08

Feb 15: Tuesday Snow Storm Detected!

New Jersey will likely see another snow event this Tuesday. A low pressure disturbance, currently approaching W. Texas, will track across the SE US before ejecting into the Atlantic Ocean over OBX and passing over the benchmark. The system appears to be a quick mover but could easily dump significant snowfall over NJ. For now, it looks like a statewide 3-6 (maybe more) with coastal CNJ/SNJ in the jackpot. Timing looks like early Tuesday through Tuesday afternoon. Here’s the latest GFS guidance showing 850mb pressure, temps and precipitation:

1AM-7AM Tuesday AM:

gfs

7AM-1PM Tuesday:

gfs

No crazy upper-level dynamics, inverted troughs, etc. to worry about. Just a textbook progressive coastal low during peak mid-Atlantic US snow season. If blocking could slow it down it would be major but given how fast it will be moving, it should be held to a significant event.

In English: Expect snow to start as early as late Monday night but definitely by early Tuesday AM. It should snow until Tuesday afternoon with 3-6 inches of snowfall accumulation likely throughout the entire State. Perhaps snow ratios could produce slightly more than that…I’ll adjust up if needed, especially if the system trends slightly further north. As of right now, CNJ and SNJ are in the bulls eye for the highest snowfall amounts within that range. I’ll be tracking and have a map out tomorrow morning but you get the idea. Be safe! JC

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Jonathan Carr
By Jonathan Carr February 15, 2015 12:08

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