Feb 5: Thursday Snow Video

Jonathan Carr
By Jonathan Carr February 5, 2017 19:50

Feb 5: Thursday Snow Video

Models continue to suggest snowfall for Wednesday night into Thursday morning. Here are my current thoughts…

Text version of video: The upper levels over the US are temporarily aligning in a favorable flow for winter storm development. However, we are lacking dynamics that would normally slow a system like this down into something larger. Therefore, it’s a quick and progressive system that might just track perfectly for a plowable wintry event this Wednesday night into Thursday morning. The latest ensemble packages of the GFS and Euro support this idea. To be clear, a major snow storm is not modeled. A plowable snow storm however has gained support over the last 24 hours.

Temperatures appear cold enough to support snow from 500-850mb. Temperatures are marginal however from 850mb to the surface for those SE of the I-95 corridor. Therefore, those along and NW of the I-95 corridor would see surface conditions more favorable for stickage than those SE. Precipitation rates could eventually over-power the warmer surface for those SE of I-95. The jury is still out on that. Let’s see how this continues to evolve.

In English: A light-to-moderate snow event is possible for New Jersey Wednesday night into Thursday morning. I’ll have more details each day as we closer approach. Be safe! JC

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Jonathan Carr
By Jonathan Carr February 5, 2017 19:50

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