March 21: Evening Winter Storm Update

Jonathan Carr
By Jonathan Carr March 21, 2018 20:56

March 21: Evening Winter Storm Update

Discussion: It appears EPA and NWNJ will be first to taper off over the hours. EPA saw expected totals today but NWNJ did not mostly due to confluence/drier air. NENJ might hang on another hour or two beyond simply because of the snow bands coming off the ocean into points further S. But more than likely NENJ will end lower than expected. Much of CNJ (near the I-95 corridor) is currently under steady snowfall with 6 inches+ on the ground now. Still a few hours left for CNJ which might take us past midnight, especially Monmouth County. Parts of CNJ still have a chance to hop into the 10-14 zone we had called for. SWNJ saw much of it’s snowfall earlier today and is mostly winding down. Still a small chance of remnant snow bands reaching back into SWNJ but nothing significant. SENJ has seen a ridiculous thumping in the last 3 hours and moderate-to-heavy snowfall continues. This snowfall has crept up the coast into Monmouth County and is helping to feed the CNJ band.

I told you all in my final call that I didn’t care whether 6 or 16 inches fell. The true hazard begins now as heavy wet snow weighs down tree branches and power lines. Winds are now gusting out of the N. Not too bad but it doesn’t take much to help sway branches and lines. There are already numerous power outage reports on social media. Trees are going to be cracking/splitting and there’s a good chance of a few transformers popping. If you still have power, I would charge up your mobile devices especially if you have more than 6 inches of snowfall from today.

We’ll be approaching the another high tide around midnight. Minor-to-moderate coastal flooding is possible with this tide as well as tomorrow’s high tide near noon. After that tidal waters should subside along the ENJ coast.

In English: Snow should begin wrapping up from W to E across New Jersey over the next 3-6 hours. Areas tapering will continue to taper. Areas puking will continue to puke during this time. Coastal Monmouth and Ocean should be last to end during early Thursday AM hours. Colder NW winds are expected tomorrow. The winds combined with heavy wet snow laying on tree branches and power lines likely means power outages overnight and tomorrow. Have a great night and be safe! JC

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Jonathan Carr
By Jonathan Carr March 21, 2018 20:56

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