Mild Week Could End Wintry (Feb 1-5)
This week should start mild and end colder with the threat of rain and thunderstorms mid-week followed by possible coastal snowfall on Friday. Let’s break it down.
Monday (Feb 1) high temperatures should reach the mid-to-upper 50s statewide. Breaking into the 60s for interior SNJ/CNJ is not off the table. Skies should feature mixed sun and clouds late-morning after some possible early AM fog. Rain showers are likely for afternoon into evening hours. Winds should be light out of the W. Overnight lows should range from 20s for NNJ elevations to the mid-30s along the SNJ coast.
Tuesday (Feb 2) high temperatures should range from mid-to-upper 40s for interior NJ/NNJ elevations to lower-50s along the SNJ coast. Skies should be mostly sunny. Winds should be light out of the E/NE. Overnight lows should fall into the 30s statewide, maybe only lower-40s for the SNJ coast.
Wednesday (Feb 3) high temperatures should range from mid-50s to mid-60s statewide. Let’s allow a small chance for interior SNJ to break 70. Skies should increase in cloudiness throughout the day and eventually yield moderate-to-heavy rainfall and possibly some thunderstorms. Winds should be breezy-to-gusty out of the S/SW ahead of the precipitation and front. Once the front is through winds will switch to the W/NW. Overnight lows should fall into the 30s statewide as precipitation clears out to sea.
Thursday (Feb 4) high temperatures should reach the mid-40s statewide. Skies should feature a mixed bag of sun and clouds. Winds should be light out of the NW. Overnight lows should fall into the teens for NNJ elevations and 20s for the rest of New Jersey. Perhaps the SNJ coast only falls to about 30.
Friday (Feb 5) high temperatures should reach the mid-to-upper 30s if the coastal energy remains off shore. Should the coastal snowfall scenario come into fruition, highs will obviously be slightly colder. Skies should be mostly cloudy with snowfall possible along the coast. I’ll have to revisit this mid-week for a much more confident handle on expected details. Winds should be light out of the N/NW. Overnight lows should fall into the teens for NNJ elevations and 20s for the rest of New Jersey.
As of right now, an early look at the weekend indicates unsettled weather with Saturday looking like the better day. By Sunday-forward we could be looking at a winter storm setup for next week. Again, check back mid-week for the latest on snowfall potential Friday and around the Feb 9-10 period.
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I took this photo last night in Holgate, NJ (Long Beach Island). Have a great week and be safe! JC