Mild Week Expected (Mar 30-April 3)

A slow gradual build in temperatures is expected this week. We have a weak low pressure disturbance moving through Tuesday evening-Wednesday morning followed by high pressure in control for Wednesday and Thursday. Another low pressure disturbance moves through Friday into Saturday morning but the weekend seems okay for now. Let’s look at each day:

Monday should reach the low-to-mid 50s for high temperatures. Morning showers and overcast skies will eventually clear and allow some sun to break through. Winds should be 10-15mph out of the W with gusts to 30mph. Overnight lows then fall and hover around freezing by morning.

Tuesday should reach the 50s for the lower 2/3 of New Jersey. Parts of NNJ, especially elevations, might stay in the 40s. The low pressure disturbance should bring rain to the coastal plain later in the day/evening and possibly some snow for NNJ, again likely for elevations only. Winds should be light out of the S/SW. Overnight lows should dip into the upper-20s for NWNJ and 30s for the rest of NJ.

Wednesday should just reach 50 for the lower 2/3 of New Jersey. NNJ elevations should hold in the 40s for high temperatures. Expect plenty of sunshine thanks to high pressure keeping the skies mostly clear. Winds should be breezy out of the NW earlier in the day but relax by/just after sunset. Overnight lows should drop and hover around freezing.

Thursday should be beautiful with highs well into the 60s for most of the state. Upper elevations of NWNJ might just fall short of 60 but I’ll leave a small chance for someone reaching/breaking 70 along the coastal plain.  These initial warm surges of Spring from the SW tend to bust a few degrees high. Expect plenty of sunshine and breezy/gusty winds out of the S/SW. Overnight lows should fall to about 50 as another low pressure disturbance approaches.

Friday should be another mild day with high temperatures reaching into the 60s statewide. Overcast skies with on-and-off rain showers are possible throughout the entire day. Winds should be light out of the S/SW. Overnight lows should drop into the 40s.

An early look at the weekend suggests that rain from Friday carries over into Saturday morning. Rain should end by noon on Saturday, if not earlier, but once it does we look dry and mild for the weekend with high pressure in control. I’m working on a detailed long range forecast but in a nutshell we’ll stay relatively mild (regardless of slightly below avg temperatures) for the next 7-10 days and warm up substantially by the second week of April. Until then, the lower 2/3 of New Jersey (coastal plain) should see high temperatures ranging from upper-40s to lower-60s with NWNJ about 5-10 degrees cooler each day overall.

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I took the above image last night from High Bar Harbor in Barnegat Light, NJ. Be safe and have a great week! JC

Jonathan Carr

Jonathan Carr (JC) is the founder and sole operator of Weather NJ, New Jersey’s largest independent weather reporting agency. Since 2010, Jonathan has provided weather safety and forecasting services for New Jersey and immediate surrounding areas through the web, social media, and app spaces. Originally branded as Severe NJ Weather (before 2014), Weather NJ is proud to bring you accurate and responsible discussions ahead of high-stakes weather scenarios that impact the garden state. All Weather. All New Jersey.™