Nice Conditions Expected (March 30-April 1)

Jonathan Carr
By Jonathan Carr March 29, 2018 16:42

Nice Conditions Expected (March 30-April 1)

Discussion: Look, it’s not time to head to the beach just yet. But after all this crap weather we’ve had, this Saturday-Sunday should feel relatively nice, especially during peak afternoon daylight. We have a weak disturbance currently tracking to our NW (as of Thursday PM) which should drag a cold front, and associated rain, through New Jersey on Friday. With any luck only the first half of Friday will be wet but let’s allow precipitation to taper off through late Friday afternoon/early Friday evening just in case. This should set up a mild, sunny and dry Saturday and Sunday as high pressure dominates. Another frontal boundary is set to come through on Sunday but the boundary should decay and break up before reaching New Jersey. I suppose the chance of a sprinkle is there but I’m more confident in a drier Sunday than a wet one. Next week we fall back to seasonably below-average temperatures with a few more rainy days (see below). If all ends well we should be dry and sunny again for next weekend. Many are asking about snow storm rumors. The only possibility I see right now is a weak marginal wave around ~Friday, April 6. Only NNJ elevations would have a chance to see snow mix in with rain meaning little-to-no accumulations. The rest of New Jersey would likely see a cold rain only.

Friday (Mar 30) high temperatures should range from mid-50s to mid-60s NNJ to SNJ. There is a small chance some interior CNJ/SNJ locations take a run at 70 in the immediate warm sector before the cold front arrives. Skies should be partly-to-mostly cloudy with periods of rain likely. Winds should be breezy out of the W. Overnight lows should fall into the 30s statewide.

Saturday (Mar 31) high temperatures should break 60s for many away from the ocean. Immediate coastal areas might struggle to escape the 40s due to marine influence. Skies should be mostly sunny. Winds should be light out of the S for most but possibly breezier for the coast out of the SE. Overnight lows should fall into the 40s for most.

Sunday (April 1) high temperatures should generally range from lower-50s to upper-50s NNJ to SNJ. There’s a chance interior CNJ/SNJ takes a run at breaking into the 60s. Skies should be partly-to-mostly sunny. Winds should be breezy out of the W/NW. Overnight lows should range from mid-20s to mid-30s NNJ to SNJ.

An early look at next week indicates more below-average temperatures for this time of year. I’m seeing highs in the 40s/50s (NNJ/SNJ) and lows in the 20s/30s (NNJ/SNJ). I’m seeing some rain in the Tuesday-Wednesday period as well as Friday. I do not expect accumulating snow to occur over the next week. If a few snowflakes want to mix with rain on ~Friday (~April 6) then so be it. This would likely only be for higher elevations of NNJ with little to no accumulations…rain for most, if not all, of New Jersey. Let’s revisit in a few days. Everyone have a great weekend and please be safe! JC

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Jonathan Carr
By Jonathan Carr March 29, 2018 16:42

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