NJ Long Range Outlook – What to Expect through June!

Jonathan Carr
By June 3, 2015 12:16

NJ Long Range Outlook – What to Expect through June!

It’s time to use the crystal ball and harness the WeatherTrends360 proprietary weather algorithms for a look at the rest of June 2015. But first lets break New Jersey into proper climatological regions. We have the upper elevations of NWNJ, the interior coastal plain (SWNJ through CNJ and into NENJ), and the coastal regions (most of SENJ). I’ll be representing each climatological region with a 28-day graph from weathertrends360 data followed by a brief discussion. Please keep in mind that these algorithms are documented with an 84% verification rate and are based on oceanic water cycles and time table series.

Zone 1: Higher Elevations of NWNJ (Sussex, Warren, Hunterdon, Morris, N. Somerset, and N. Passaic) – Known for little to no Atlantic Ocean influence, colder-snowier winters, and drier conditions in general when compared to the coast. This region is known to get hot when high pressure sits overhead during the summer and bitterly cold during Arctic outbreaks in the winter.

nnj

Zone 1 Discussion: We’re cooler than average (60s and 70s) with ample rainfall through this weekend but sustained warmth (upper-70s/lower-80s) should return early next week to finish out June 2015. As the weathertrends360 graphic illustrates, rainfall should be plentiful with showers and thunderstorms possible almost every few days. Otherwise, there will be sunny and dry conditions between.

Zone 2: Interior Coastal Plain (Salem, Gloucester, Camden, W. Burlington, Mercer, W. Monmouth, Middlesex, Union, Essex, Hudson, Bergen, and S. Passaic) – Known for naturally higher temperatures due to lower elevations away from the oceanic influence. This region is also known as “heat island” due to transportation (I-95 corridor), smog, abundant asphalt, concrete, and other man-made substances that naturally absorb and retain heat moreso than natural protected land.

cnj

Zone 2 Discussion: We’re cooler than average (60s and 70s) with ample rainfall through this weekend but sustained warmth (80s and a few 90s) should return early next week to finish out June 2015. As the weathertrends360 graphic illustrates, rainfall should be plentiful with showers and thunderstorms possible almost every few days. Otherwise, there will be sunny and dry conditions between.  

Zone 3: Coastal Regions (Cumberland, Cape May, Atlantic, E. Burlington, Ocean, and E. Monmouth) – Known for tremendous influence from the Atlantic Ocean. Oceanic influence keeps this zone cooler in the summer and warmer in the winter than the interior coastal plain and especially the higher elevations of NWNJ. This forms a micro-climate that only local inhabitants and frequent visitors are familiar with.

snj

Zone 3 Discussion: We’re cooler than average (60s and 70s) with ample rainfall through this weekend but sustained warmth (80s and a few 90s) should return early next week to finish out June 2015. Onshore flow from high pressure stationed to our NE should continue to keep the immediate coast cooler and breezy. The ocean is still in the 50s and 60s and has tremendous micro-climate influcence on the Jersey Shore…even when interior NJ bakes. This will feel great later in the summer when ocean temps are warmer but for now, expect nuisance conditions on the water to continue. As the weathertrends360 graphic illustrates, rainfall should be plentiful with showers and thunderstorms possible almost every few days. Otherwise, there will be sunny and dry conditions between.  

In English: A pretty average June is expected, despite a cooler start, regarding temperatures. Precipitation looks to be above-average, especially after the jump-start these past few days. Some NJ locations saw over 6 inches of rain already this month. Once we warm up starting next week, we should be well on our way to average summer conditions heading into 4th of July weekend.

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A forecast Weather Trends issued one year ago is more accurate than every other weather company’s 5 to 14-day forecasts. The University of Miami and West Point PhD Climatologist’s prove WTI’s year-ahead forecasts are several times more accurate than NOAA – Click to Download Report.

Enjoy the rest of June and please be safe! JC

Jonathan Carr
By June 3, 2015 12:16