Sep 1: Hit or Miss Rain for Labor Day

Jonathan Carr
By Jonathan Carr September 1, 2014 11:25

Sep 1: Hit or Miss Rain for Labor Day

First, I’d like to wish the entire Weather NJ fanbase a Happy Labor Day. Our country would never be where it is without its workers since its founding. One day of weather remains in this traditional summer weekend and it looks to feature hit-or-miss showers and thunderstorms. They will not be widespread like last night in CNJ/SNJ. Instead they should be more of a scattered nature.

Consider today’s expected widespread rainfall robbed from last night. There’s still a lot of moisture int he atmosphere however. The radar is currently clear as diurnal heating destabilizes and builds rain/storm clouds. Therefore, lets go right to the ultra short-range HRRR model showing scattered showers and storms as early as 1PM:

HRRR shows scattered hit-or-miss showers in new jersey for labor day
The high-res 4KM NAM holds off scattered showers and storms until later this evening:

high-res NAM 4km showing scattered showers and storms on labor day in new jersey

In English: Some of you will experience tropical-like downpours while others will be missed. Regardless, everyone will deal with heat, humidity and a mixed bag of sun and clouds today in-between possible scattered showers and storms. Light SW flow will persist. Meteorological summer has ended and now meteorological autumn begins despite a warm week expected. I’ll have an outlook out tonight that will take us into the upcoming weekend. Be safe and again, have a great holiday! JC

Model images reproduced with permission from WeatherBell Analytics.

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Jonathan Carr
By Jonathan Carr September 1, 2014 11:25

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