Unsettled Warm Weather Expected this Weekend (May 15-17)

Stubborn high pressure off the east coast will keep New Jersey and surrounding areas warm and unsettled this weekend. Let’s look at each day:

Friday high temperatures should reach the mid-to-upper 70s. I wouldn’t rule out 80 along the I-95 corridor, away from the ocean where it should be cooler. Skies should be mostly sunny with a few friendly clouds. Winds should be light out of the S/SW. Overnight lows should then fall into the 50s statewide.

Saturday should reach 80 statewide and possibly approach 90 inland. With ocean surface temperatures still chilly, the coast should struggle to escape the mid-to-upper 70s. Expect a mixed bag of sun, clouds, and isolated showers and storms. It’s hit or miss with afternoon-evening hours the best chance for precipitation. At this time, NWNJ appears more favorable for rain than SENJ if you divide at the NJ Turnpike/95 area but everyone is subject to at least a few sprinkles or passing showers. Winds should be light-to-breezy out of the W/SW aside from any rain-shaft gusts directly under a shower or storm. Overnight lows should fall into the lower 60s for most of the state (upper-50s for NWNJ). Watch out for pockets of fog that back in off the ocean through sunrise.

Sunday also looks warm with highs reaching well into the 80s. 90 is not off the table away from the ocean with again, the coast being cooler from oceanic influence. Skies should feature variable clouds with times of sun. Winds should be virtually still so get ready to bake! Overnight lows should fall to around 50 with fog possible through Monday morning.

An early look at next week indicates the unsettled weather ending Tuesday with a cold front moving through. Showers and storms would then be possible ahead of it until everything clears and drys out for Wednesday-forward. I’ll be monitoring Tuesday storms very closely.

A super early look at Memorial Day Weekend indicates more warm and stormy weather.

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Be safe and have a great weekend! JC

Jonathan Carr

Jonathan Carr (JC) is the founder and sole operator of Weather NJ, New Jersey’s largest independent weather reporting agency. Since 2010, Jonathan has provided weather safety and forecasting services for New Jersey and immediate surrounding areas through the web, social media, and app spaces. Originally branded as Severe NJ Weather (before 2014), Weather NJ is proud to bring you accurate and responsible discussions ahead of high-stakes weather scenarios that impact the garden state. All Weather. All New Jersey.™