Weekend Starts Cold Ends Mild (Feb 26-28)

The volatile temperature pattern continues. Colder NW flow should dominate the first part of the weekend before warmer SW flow closes it out. Let’s break it down:

Friday (Feb 26) high temperatures should range in the 30s statewide after a cold AM start. Skies should be mostly sunny. Winds should be breezy-to-gusty out of the NW. Wind chills should be noticeable day and night. Overnight lows should fall into the teens for NNJ elevations and 20s for the lower 2/3 of New Jersey.

Saturday (Feb 27) high temperatures should reach the upper-30s to lower-40s. Skies should be mostly sunny. Winds should be light out of the W/SW which will signal the start of temperature moderation. It will likely feel warmer with the higher sun angle this time of year. Overnight lows should fall into the twenties for NNJ elevations and 30s for the lower 2/3 of New Jersey.

Sunday (Feb 28) high temperatures should break 60 for most of the state. Skies should be mostly sunny with maybe a few clouds. Winds should be breezy-to-gusty out of the S/SW. Overnight lows should stay above 40 statewide.

An early look at next week indicates the milder temperatures hanging on for at least the first part of the week. Midweek-forward looks unsettled with mixed precipitation types possible. Snow really needs to fall overnight to stick this time of year. Daytime high temperatures will likely be too mild for such. Also the higher sun angle will naturally fight accumulations on paved surfaces. Therefore timing should ultimately determine any wintry chances vs just rain—should any low pressure systems track favorably for precipitation. Let’s see where model guidance is on Monday. For now bundle up tonight through Saturday and enjoy the milder weather Sunday through at least Tuesday.

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Jonathan Carr

Jonathan Carr (JC) is the founder and sole operator of Weather NJ, New Jersey’s largest independent weather reporting agency. Since 2010, Jonathan has provided weather safety and forecasting services for New Jersey and immediate surrounding areas through the web, social media, and app spaces. Originally branded as Severe NJ Weather (before 2014), Weather NJ is proud to bring you accurate and responsible discussions ahead of high-stakes weather scenarios that impact the garden state. All Weather. All New Jersey.™