Wet Start. Settled Finish (Nov 2-4)

Jonathan Carr
By Jonathan Carr November 1, 2018 20:41

Wet Start. Settled Finish (Nov 2-4)

Discussion: A strong upper-level jet will dominate the E US from now through Saturday morning. This should support two smaller surface disturbances bringing rain to New Jersey. First from early Friday morning through Friday afternoon and then the second from Friday evening through Saturday morning. Between this break we could see a lull in precipitation via subsidence and a few other factors. Once it all clears out by noon on Saturday we’ll be left with stronger W/NW winds on Saturday under clearing/improving skies. This should all help Saturday night become a cold and clear night. Sunday looks pretty good with cool conditions likely thanks to high pressure overhead. We should moderate towards mild conditions for the first-half of next week. After that we should return to seasonably-average conditions for November to close out the week.

Friday (Nov 2) high temperatures should reach the upper-60s/lower-70s for most. Skies should be cloudy and unsettled. I’m seeing two main periods of rain. First from ~2AM to ~2PM and then ~8PM to ~8AM Saturday morning. In the time between (~2PM to ~8PM), it should still be cloudy with isolated showers possible. Total Friday rainfall should range and vary from .75” to 1.5” statewide. Winds should be light-to-breezy out of the S/SW. Overnight lows should fall to near-50 statewide as rain likely continues.

Saturday (Nov 3) high temperatures should reach the mid-to-upper 50s for most. The day could start wet and breezy through late-morning hours. With any luck the rain breaks up even earlier in the morning. By early-afternoon conditions should improve but with breezy, possibly gusty at times, winds out of the W/NW. Overnight lows should fall into the 30s for most. SNJ/SENJ could hang in the lower-40s.

Sunday (Nov 4) high temperatures should reach the mid-to-upper 50s for most. Skies should be partly sunny. Winds should be light out of the E. Overnight lows should range from upper-30s to near-50 NNJ to SNJ.

An early look at next week indicates a mild and unsettled start followed by average temperatures for the more settled second-half of the week. Let’s take a closer look in a few days. Have a great weekend and please be safe! JC

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Jonathan Carr
By Jonathan Carr November 1, 2018 20:41

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