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Latest NJ Weather Alerts

Aug 3: Tropical Storm Isaias Approaching

Aug 3: Tropical Storm Isaias Approaching

Jonathan Carr 🕔16:46, 3.Aug 2020

Discussion: Isaias is a strong tropical storm located just E of the SC/GA coastal border. Sustained winds were last recorded at 70mph with higher gusts. It has a small chance for slight intensification during its last breath over warm water.

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Aug 2: Isaias Impact on NJ

Aug 2: Isaias Impact on NJ

Jonathan Carr 🕔22:43, 2.Aug 2020

Discussion: Isaias is currently just off the east coast of central Florida as a strong tropical storm. Its steering will now be heavily influenced by the trough spanning from the Great Lakes down through the TN valley. The front of

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July 31: Isaias Impact on East Coast

July 31: Isaias Impact on East Coast

Jonathan Carr 🕔17:10, 31.Jul 2020

Discussion: Earlier this week we started talking about a potential tropical threat for the east coast around August 5 from what was Invest 92L. Today this system is a category 1 hurricane named Isaias heading into the Bahamas. From its

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Mixed Conditions Likely (July 31-Aug 2)

Mixed Conditions Likely (July 31-Aug 2)

Jonathan Carr 🕔11:53, 31.Jul 2020

Discussion: This weekend we will have a small developing ridge over the E US which won’t fully establish until Sunday. Today our rain is pushing away to the SE of NJ and conditions should improve during PM hours tonight (Friday).

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A Hair of Relief (July 27-31)

A Hair of Relief (July 27-31)

Jonathan Carr 🕔17:06, 26.Jul 2020

Discussion: The upper-jet should stay to the N of NJ through Tuesday before dipping over NJ for Wednesday-Sunday. After Sunday it should return to the N of NJ for continued hazy, hot and humid ridging. So Monday and Tuesday should

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Dry but Humid (July 24-26)

Dry but Humid (July 24-26)

Jonathan Carr 🕔11:11, 24.Jul 2020

Discussion: Today will offer a small break in temperature but not so much humidity. This is associated with the tip of a narrow progressive trough swinging through the NE US. After that it’s back to upper-level ridging under (to the

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Hang in there! (July 20-24)

Hang in there! (July 20-24)

Jonathan Carr 🕔11:59, 20.Jul 2020

Discussion: The upper jet should remain to the N of NJ this week as slightly above-average positive 500mb height anomalies persist over the Mid-Atlantic US. This should keep the surface hot with fluctuations of humidity intensity. The two strongest fluctuations

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We Bake (July 17-19)

We Bake (July 17-19)

Jonathan Carr 🕔11:51, 17.Jul 2020

Discussion: The upper jet should remain to the N of NJ until the bottom of a trough swings through next weekend. That leaves our region in a sea of ridging until then with the strongest flex point this coming Sunday-Monday.

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Some Relief. Then Back to HHH (July 13-17)

Some Relief. Then Back to HHH (July 13-17)

Jonathan Carr 🕔10:34, 13.Jul 2020

Discussion: A quick-moving narrow trough will move through between now (Monday) and Wednesday of this week. This should provide a small window of relief from heat and humidity in the Tuesday-Wednesday period as upper-level flow becomes NW and steers some

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Long-Range WeatherTrends360 Outlook

Long-Range WeatherTrends360 Outlook

Jonathan Carr 🕔16:07, 10.Jul 2020

It’s time to harness WeatherTrends360 technology and look at how the rest of July 2020 should play out. WeatherTrends360 algorithms are documented with an 84% verification rate and are based on oceanic water cycles, time table series and very complex

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