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Latest NJ Weather Alerts

Watching a Coastal Storm (Oct 18-20)

Watching a Coastal Storm (Oct 18-20)

Jonathan Carr 🕔21:09, 17.Oct 2019

Discussion: A trough will move out with the departing nor’easter. But not before keeping the region colder and still-breezy tonight (Thursday) through part of Friday. Upper-level heights should then build from Saturday through Tuesday. This should keep it dry with

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Oct 16: Coastal Storm Begins

Oct 16: Coastal Storm Begins

Jonathan Carr 🕔13:26, 16.Oct 2019

Discussion: Our coastal storm is just getting started. The upper-level low is intensifying over the Great Lakes with an initial surface low directly underneath. This Great Lakes surface low will transfer to the surface energy currently moving up the coast

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Oct 15: Coastal Storm Approaching

Oct 15: Coastal Storm Approaching

Jonathan Carr 🕔16:22, 15.Oct 2019

Discussion: Our coastal storm players are on the field. You can see the energy across the SE US (just N of the Gulf Coast) which will turn and track up the coast and interact with the strong Upper-Level Low (ULL).

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Oct 14: Coastal Storm Developing

Oct 14: Coastal Storm Developing

Jonathan Carr 🕔17:10, 14.Oct 2019

Discussion: Another October coastal storm is about to develop and hit coastal New England. This is the long-range storm signal that showed up a little over a week ago and with good reason. The upper-levels have remained impressively modeled well

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Another Fall Smack (Oct 14-18)

Another Fall Smack (Oct 14-18)

Jonathan Carr 🕔21:09, 13.Oct 2019

Discussion: The original October 18-22 storm signal will actually come into fruition but not for the Mid-Atlantic US…rather for the NorthEast US for Oct 17-18. It was a solid signal which is comforting to see re: long-range ensemble performance. First

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Subtropical Storm Melissa Departs (Oct 12-14)

Subtropical Storm Melissa Departs (Oct 12-14)

Jonathan Carr 🕔13:41, 11.Oct 2019

Discussion: Our offshore storm system has been named Subtropical Storm Melissa. Quite honestly she has worn out her welcome especially for coastal residents. She is still providing elevated tides and even a few fringe showers to extreme ECNJ/SENJ today. Melissa

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Oct 8: Coastal Storm Approaching

Oct 8: Coastal Storm Approaching

Jonathan Carr 🕔19:39, 8.Oct 2019

Discussion: After reviewing 24 more hours of model guidance and live observations I think we’re locking onto a more defined solution for the coastal storm. The offshore storm system is approaching now and I’d like to break the impacts down

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Oct 7: Coastal Storm Developing

Oct 7: Coastal Storm Developing

Jonathan Carr 🕔20:45, 7.Oct 2019

Discussion: October is traditionally known for coastal storms and nor’easters. The NJ-latitude Sea Surface Temperatures (SSTs) are about 10 degrees cooler than they were just 4-6 weeks ago and therefore are harder to sustain warmer tropical cores. It’s not impossible

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Sleepless in New Jersey (Oct 7-11)

Sleepless in New Jersey (Oct 7-11)

Jonathan Carr 🕔18:39, 6.Oct 2019

Discussion: First we have a cold front that should push through between Monday night and Tuesday morning. We’re in the warm sector now of that approaching front which is why it feels a little milder and more humid today. This

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Cool and Dry (Oct 4-6)

Cool and Dry (Oct 4-6)

Jonathan Carr 🕔19:22, 3.Oct 2019

Discussion: A piece of upper-level energy has broken off of the NW US trough and made its way across S Canada to the trough currently swinging through the NE US. This energy is meeting up with the southern stream energy

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