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Latest NJ Weather Alerts

Long-Range WeatherTrends360 Outlook

Long-Range WeatherTrends360 Outlook

Jonathan Carr 🕔16:07, 10.Jul 2020

It’s time to harness WeatherTrends360 technology and look at how the rest of July 2020 should play out. WeatherTrends360 algorithms are documented with an 84% verification rate and are based on oceanic water cycles, time table series and very complex

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Conditions to Improve (July 10-12)

Conditions to Improve (July 10-12)

Jonathan Carr 🕔10:35, 10.Jul 2020

Discussion: A quick update on the “Tropical Storm” currently impacting NJ. Most conditions are going as expected regarding rain, wind and coastal flooding. I’m not sure we’ll reach tropical storm intensity but whatever. Either way this is much needed rainfall

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July 9: Coastal Storm Approaching

July 9: Coastal Storm Approaching

Jonathan Carr 🕔10:57, 9.Jul 2020

Discussion: Our coastal system is organizing just SE of Bald Head Island, NC (S OBX). The latest trends in model guidance indicate the system riding slightly further W up the back of the ridge which will be located over NE

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The Heat is On (July 6-10)

The Heat is On (July 6-10)

Jonathan Carr 🕔13:19, 6.Jul 2020

Discussion: The upper-jet should remain positioned well to the N of NJ this week. 500mb height anomalies should stay slightly positive (ridging) for the E US. At the surface this spells out more warm, humid and slightly unsettled conditions…meaning mostly

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Warm and Humid (July 3-5)

Warm and Humid (July 3-5)

Jonathan Carr 🕔12:22, 3.Jul 2020

Discussion: First of all, my family would like to wish everyone a Happy 4th of July! The upper-levels still indicate the steep progressive trough nearby to our E and NE. There’s also a correlating surface low to our E but

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Summery Conditions (June 29-July 3)

Summery Conditions (June 29-July 3)

Jonathan Carr 🕔12:01, 29.Jun 2020

Discussion: An area of low pressure off coastal New England will dominate the pattern through about Thursday of this week. This will provide periods of northerly flow to New Jersey and the Mid-Atlantic US which will not allow record-type heat.

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Warm, Humid and Slightly Unsettled (June 26-28)

Warm, Humid and Slightly Unsettled (June 26-28)

Jonathan Carr 🕔12:29, 26.Jun 2020

Discussion: The upper-jet looks scrambled a bit (meridionally) over our region this weekend and next week. A few week and progressive troughs are continuing to break off the front of the overall ridge jet dip to our N and NE.

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Hot Start (June 22-26)

Hot Start (June 22-26)

Jonathan Carr 🕔15:05, 22.Jun 2020

Discussion: The upper-jet is pretty far N of NJ. I don’t need to tell you that the surface warm front is through. It should stay this way through Wednesday with NJ firmly planted in a warm sector. Sometime in the

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Warm and Unsettled (June 19-21)

Warm and Unsettled (June 19-21)

Jonathan Carr 🕔14:58, 18.Jun 2020

Discussion: The upper-level low that broke off of last week’s trough has been churning over the interior S Mid-Atlantic/SE US for most of this week as expected. The ridge over SE Canada and NE US, however, has been obliterating the

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Conditions Improve (June 12-14)

Conditions Improve (June 12-14)

Jonathan Carr 🕔15:51, 11.Jun 2020

Discussion: We’ve got an active upper-jet pattern in place for the next week or so. Cristobal’s remnants have formed a post-tropical cyclone in E Canada with a frontal boundary attached to it’s S. This frontal boundary is what currently moved

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