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Posts From Jonathan Carr

Stormy Start. Improvement by Mid-Week.

Stormy Start. Improvement by Mid-Week.

Jonathan Carr 🕔11:40, 21.Jun 2021

Discussion: The front side of an approaching upper-level trough should keep the region unsettled today and tomorrow surrounding a cold front passage at the surface. Today (Monday) we should feel the heat and humidity build in the core of the

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Summer Not Wasting Time

Summer Not Wasting Time

Jonathan Carr 🕔15:18, 17.Jun 2021

Discussion: This weekend looks pretty summery. Upper-level flow out of the NW and lower-level flow out of the SW. That’s a recipe for warmth and humidity but not scorching temps. We’re talking about highs in the mid-to-upper 80s (some lower-90s

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Stormy Start then Improvement

Stormy Start then Improvement

Jonathan Carr 🕔10:04, 14.Jun 2021

Discussion: We start out unsettled this week as a cold front drags through between Monday PM and Tuesday AM. This could bring strong-to-severe criteria thunderstorms to the region later today/tonight. Once that clears, the rest of the week will be

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Slightly Unsettled

Slightly Unsettled

Jonathan Carr 🕔11:46, 11.Jun 2021

Discussion: This weekend and next 10-day stretch or so appear similar. A generally unsettled period. I’m seeing a lot of lower geopotential height activity over the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast US. A few progressive troughs in the NE US/SE Canada region

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Mixed Conditions

Mixed Conditions

Jonathan Carr 🕔11:08, 7.Jun 2021

Discussion: High pressure should remain parked over Bermuda until at least Wednesday night. This will keep the SW flow in place over NJ from the return flow of the Bermuda high. This should make for hazy, hot, and humid conditions

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Heat Wave Detected

Heat Wave Detected

Jonathan Carr 🕔11:35, 4.Jun 2021

Discussion: A very thin and progressive upper-level trough is moving through today (Friday) in the wake of the departing Thursday PM convergent-driven rainfall. This will keep conditions cloudy and unsettled for Friday while the upper-jet is still wrapped around the

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Memorial Day Weekend Outlook

Memorial Day Weekend Outlook

Jonathan Carr 🕔01:12, 28.May 2021

Discussion: This is not a good overall weekend outlook. Monday is looking like the best day of the holiday period. Friday-Sunday is just ugh. So high pressure in SE Canada is currently tracking from just N of the Great Lakes

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May 26: Watching PM Thunderstorms

May 26: Watching PM Thunderstorms

Jonathan Carr 🕔12:19, 26.May 2021

Discussion: No surprises on today being the hottest and most humid day of the week. We’ve got warm sector S/SW flow at most lower-mid levels pumping in humid air mass while the near-highest sun-angle of the year heats up the

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Mixed Conditions (May 24-28)

Mixed Conditions (May 24-28)

Jonathan Carr 🕔09:32, 24.May 2021

Discussion: Areas of high pressure continue to dominate our pattern. A high is currently tracking from just N of the Great Lakes towards the Atlantic Ocean (over Cape Cod area). This will start everyone out with onshore flow (over 60-degree

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The Heat is On (May 21-23)

The Heat is On (May 21-23)

Jonathan Carr 🕔23:35, 20.May 2021

Discussion: High pressure continues to dominate the E US setup in a prolonged upper-level ridge pattern. We’re going to see high pressure retrograde off the Atlantic Ocean Friday and make it as far W as Missouri on Saturday (rare). This

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