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Posts From Jonathan Carr

Jan 24: Rainstorm Approaching

Jan 24: Rainstorm Approaching

Jonathan Carr 🕔16:42, 24.Jan 2020

Discussion: Our Upper-Level Low (ULL) is currently centered over S Missouri and should track just to our NW (over the SE Great Lakes) between now and Sunday night. The primary surface low will remain stacked under the ULL over the

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Unsettled Conditions (Jan 24-26)

Unsettled Conditions (Jan 24-26)

Jonathan Carr 🕔13:54, 23.Jan 2020

Discussion: Conditions should remain tranquil and milder for Friday. An Upper-Level Low (ULL) will then barrel across the NE US this weekend tracking near the Appalachian Mountain range. A surface low will correlate and wobble through somewhere near/over NJ on

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Jan 21: Weekend System looks Warm for Most

Jan 21: Weekend System looks Warm for Most

Jonathan Carr 🕔16:21, 21.Jan 2020

Discussion: The strong area of high pressure responsible for the cold this week will ultimately be responsible for the moderation in temperature between Thursday and Saturday night. The front side of the high’s anti-cyclonic flow brought cold from the N

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Colder Conditions (Jan 20-24)

Colder Conditions (Jan 20-24)

Jonathan Carr 🕔17:59, 19.Jan 2020

Discussion: My family is feeling much better as we’re almost fully-recovered from the flu. Thanks again for the well-wishes from everyone. You are all amazing! Tonight temperatures will drop well-below freezing statewide. Breezy-to-gusty NW winds should gradually subside by daybreak

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Jan 17: Winter Storm Update

Jan 17: Winter Storm Update

Jonathan Carr 🕔16:28, 17.Jan 2020

Discussion: I’m feeling a little better today but my wife and daughter are in the worst stage of the flu. I’m about 2 days ahead of them regarding symptoms and timing. Thank you so much for your thoughtful expressions and

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Jan 16: Initial Map for Saturday

Jan 16: Initial Map for Saturday

Jonathan Carr 🕔15:59, 16.Jan 2020

Discussion: Today I tested positive for the flu (infuenza A strain) and so did my 5-month old daughter. It’s been a very bad week and I apologize for seeming to be MIA. I’ve been trying to rest and hydrate as

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Jan 14: Early Thoughts on Weekend Snow

Jan 14: Early Thoughts on Weekend Snow

Jonathan Carr 🕔17:05, 14.Jan 2020

Discussion: Our weekend winter storm system has trended warmer since yesterday. The main reason? The upper-level low associated with the trough that will be swinging in is now modeled stronger. This propagates down to the surface by intensifying the primary

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Jan 13: Winter Storm Detected

Jan 13: Winter Storm Detected

Jonathan Carr 🕔16:22, 13.Jan 2020

Discussion: On Friday morning low pressure will form somewhere in the Wyoming area and track eastward towards the E US. This low will encounter a strong (1040mb+) blocking surface high over SE Canada/extreme N Maine.  This high will do two

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Mild Start Cold Finish (Jan 13-17)

Mild Start Cold Finish (Jan 13-17)

Jonathan Carr 🕔14:02, 12.Jan 2020

Discussion: We are through with the freakishly warm January conditions after today. Anomalously high ridging will continue over the E US this week but fade. That means that Mondy through Thursday daytime hours will still be above-average in temperature but

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Warm for Winter (Jan 10-12)

Warm for Winter (Jan 10-12)

Jonathan Carr 🕔09:44, 10.Jan 2020

Discussion: The upper jet will be WAY to the N of NJ this weekend…like up in SE Canada. This will shape a highly anomalous ridge over the E US through Sunday. A large area of high pressure will set up

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