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Posts From Jonathan Carr

Early look at July 4th Weekend

Early look at July 4th Weekend

🕔15:40, 29.Jun 2022

Discussion: High pressure was overhead today (Wednesday) and will continue pushing out to sea by tomorrow night (Thursday). We’ll stay dry in this period before a hot and humid Friday into Saturday, in the warm sector leading into a frontal

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Not Bad

Not Bad

🕔09:54, 27.Jun 2022

Discussion: A cold front is pushing through this morning (Monday) which could feature showers and thunderstorms just ahead/along it. It’s already into NNJ and should clear through all of NUJ by early afternoon today (Monday) if not sooner. Once that

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Warm and Summery

Warm and Summery

🕔14:25, 23.Jun 2022

Discussion: The anomalous upper-low retrograde that formed a coastal disturbance (bringing us ran bands moving N to S) is moving out to sea. We’re now poised for a beautiful summery weekend with high pressure in control of NJ and the

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Unsettled and Cloudy at Times

Unsettled and Cloudy at Times

🕔15:15, 20.Jun 2022

Discussion: The drier fallish-feeling air mass managed to stick around for Monday while temperatures maxed near-80 for many locations. The wind was what it was this past weekend but the highest sun angle of the year put up a nice

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Spectacular Conditions

Spectacular Conditions

🕔15:47, 16.Jun 2022

Discussion: Another stormy night/overnight is expected tonight (Thursday night) however this won’t bring the relief just yet. Tonight will just be another area of concentrated convergence between the oceanic high’s return flow and the establishing warm sector from our W.

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Severe Storms Possible Tomorrow Morning

Severe Storms Possible Tomorrow Morning

🕔14:37, 13.Jun 2022

Discussion: As soon as you say the word Derecho, everyone loses their mind, especially since the June 2012 Derecho hit the N VA/DC/SNJ area so hard. Let’s get the hype anchored to some facts. In order for a system to

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Stormy Start to a Humid Week

Stormy Start to a Humid Week

🕔23:54, 12.Jun 2022

Discussion: The upper jet has formed a ring of fire pattern across the US. This should hold until about Tuesday. This means that a central US ridge will form with the upper jet aligned from the W/NW over NJ. This

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Great Start. Mixed Finish

Great Start. Mixed Finish

🕔13:48, 9.Jun 2022

Discussion: Temperatures and dew points are currently butt-cheeking apart which is evidence that the front is through. We’re now under stable W/NW flow coming from a cooler and drier air mass over the lakes. Tonight should feel pretty amazing and

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A Stormy Night for Some

A Stormy Night for Some

🕔22:10, 8.Jun 2022

Discussion: Most model guidance has the surface low tracking from Ohio/W PA now through North-Central PA overnight/by morning, and into NY State/SE Canada by tomorrow afternoon. Given the proximity of the low’s track and track speed, NJ will spend a

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Rain and Storms Approaching for Tonight

Rain and Storms Approaching for Tonight

🕔11:50, 7.Jun 2022

Discussion: The high pressure, that brought us the beautiful conditions these past few days, is out in the Atlantic Ocean. The SW side of the high’s anti-cyclonic flow is now kicking winds into NJ from the S. You might have

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