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Posts From Jonathan Carr

Aug 21: The Good Stuff is Coming

Aug 21: The Good Stuff is Coming

Jonathan Carr 🕔10:24, 21.Aug 2019

Discussion: Another hot and humid day is expected across much of the region today. An area of organized low pressure is lifting to the NW in SE Canada. This is the driver of the warm and moist SW flow (the

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Hang in there Jersey (Aug 19-23)

Hang in there Jersey (Aug 19-23)

Jonathan Carr 🕔20:33, 18.Aug 2019

Discussion: The upper-jet should hold to the N of NJ through about Thursday. This will allow 500mb geopotential heights to ridge across the Mid-Atlantic US and keep us warm, humid and unsettled. Temps shouldn’t be unbearable or record-breaking but the

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Summery but Slightly Unsettled (Aug 16-18)

Summery but Slightly Unsettled (Aug 16-18)

Jonathan Carr 🕔15:48, 16.Aug 2019

Discussion: The upper-level jet should remain flat and zonal across the region with no major jet streaks to contend with. By the end of the weekend/start of next week we might see a split-flow pattern emerge just to our W

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Talking Thunderstorms (Aug 13-16)

Talking Thunderstorms (Aug 13-16)

Jonathan Carr 🕔16:58, 12.Aug 2019

Discussion: We’re going to do the weekly outlook and Tuesday thunderstorm discussion in a single article. Today we saw elevated levels of humidity return after a pleasant weekend. And when I say pleasant I mostly mean the humidity. I realize

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Dry and Pleasant (Aug 9-11)

Dry and Pleasant (Aug 9-11)

Jonathan Carr 🕔16:18, 8.Aug 2019

Discussion: A mostly dry cold front will push through NJ tonight through tomorrow morning. A few showers and even boomers are possible, from now through tonight along the front, but likely non-severe. We’re then in for a real treat this

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Aug 7: Thunderstorm Discussion

Aug 7: Thunderstorm Discussion

Jonathan Carr 🕔14:41, 7.Aug 2019

Discussion: A cold front will push through NJ this evening between about 5pm and 10pm. It hardly makes sense to use the word cold in cold front because all it will do is take temps and dews down a few

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Summery (Aug 5-9)

Summery (Aug 5-9)

Jonathan Carr 🕔18:38, 4.Aug 2019

Discussion: Real quick, that’s my beautiful wife and I at the beach. The other night we were able to sneak over to Long Beach Island and leverage some pre-sunset “golden hour” lighting. Our baby girl is due any day now

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Not as Hot but Still Unsettled (Aug 2-4)

Not as Hot but Still Unsettled (Aug 2-4)

Jonathan Carr 🕔15:48, 1.Aug 2019

Discussion: The E Pacific/W US setup should continue to produce a +PNA (ridging) signal. This translates downstream to either a flat jet across the Mid-Atlantic US or quick-moving positive-axis trough. This should prevent us from getting crazy hot but keep

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August 2019 WeatherTrends360 Outlook

August 2019 WeatherTrends360 Outlook

Jonathan Carr 🕔10:56, 1.Aug 2019

It’s time to harness WeatherTrends360 technology and look at how the rest of July 2019 should play out. WeatherTrends360 algorithms are documented with an 84% verification rate and are based on oceanic water cycles, time table series and very complex

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July 31: Thunderstorms are Building

July 31: Thunderstorms are Building

Jonathan Carr 🕔13:06, 31.Jul 2019

Discussion: The Bermuda high is currently eroding and slipping to the E. Another area of high pressure is currently over the Great Lakes and will track across the NE US towards the Gulf of Maine (passing by to our N

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