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Posts From Jonathan Carr

Dec 14: Wintry Impact Maps

Dec 14: Wintry Impact Maps

Jonathan Carr 🕔16:53, 14.Dec 2019

Discussion: We’re now on the back side of the low that moved through last night through early this morning. Just an isolated chance of showers as we head into overnight hours. We should be cooler and drier on Sunday. Colder

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Unsettled Conditions (Dec 13-15)

Unsettled Conditions (Dec 13-15)

Jonathan Carr 🕔16:32, 12.Dec 2019

Discussion: High pressure, tracking overhead, has brought us a colder Wednesday night and Thursday (today). Tonight should drop pretty good too until onshore flow develops tomorrow morning off the ocean from the SE. This should moderate most areas to between

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Dec 11: The Next Storm Signals

Dec 11: The Next Storm Signals

Jonathan Carr 🕔17:28, 11.Dec 2019

Discussion: Our weak anafrontal rain-to-snow system has moved out and we’ll now be cold tonight through tomorrow. Moving forward I’m watching two specific storm signals. You may remember be talking about a December 15th storm signal and how the roller

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Dec 10: Snow Changeover Approaching

Dec 10: Snow Changeover Approaching

Jonathan Carr 🕔16:50, 10.Dec 2019

Discussion: Temperatures spiked very mild today as expected. They will drop between now and overnight hours which should change the precipitation type from rain to snow from NW to SE by morning. We have high pressure pushing the cold in

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Dec 9: Snow Map for Tues PM-Wed AM

Dec 9: Snow Map for Tues PM-Wed AM

Jonathan Carr 🕔16:31, 9.Dec 2019

Discussion: We’re now in the warm sector of the Great Lakes-tracking low. That’s why we are mild and wet today under the influence of S/SW flow. This will continue overnight and through most of Tuesday with on-and-off periods of rainfall

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Dec 8: Midweek Snow Likely

Dec 8: Midweek Snow Likely

Jonathan Carr 🕔18:36, 8.Dec 2019

Discussion: Departing high pressure in the Atlantic Ocean will help pump and E US warm sector with a Great Lakes-tracking low. That’s going to keep the Mid-Atlantic mild and rainy for Monday-Tuesday with high temperatures pushing 60 at times. On

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Volatile Conditions Detected

Volatile Conditions Detected

Jonathan Carr 🕔18:58, 5.Dec 2019

Discussion: Some flurries and snow showers were moving across NNJ earlier but looks like it calmed down a bit on radar. Should be an uneventful chilly night tonight (Thursday). High pressure should then track near Bermuda tomorrow (Friday) and provide

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Dec 2: Coastal Snow Storm Update

Dec 2: Coastal Snow Storm Update

Jonathan Carr 🕔19:54, 2.Dec 2019

Discussion: We’re about halfway through phase 3. There’s nothing left but the second half of the snow storm that should occur between now and about 2am. We’ve seen a lot of mesoscale banding today. The radar reflects such with a

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Dec 2: Coastal Snow Storm Arriving

Dec 2: Coastal Snow Storm Arriving

Jonathan Carr 🕔08:30, 2.Dec 2019

Discussion: One final snow map tweak heading into phase 3 of this system. When we made our map yesterday afternoon there was little data to support higher snow totals further S and SE in New Jersey. Since then (last night

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Dec 1: Coastal Snow Storm Incoming

Dec 1: Coastal Snow Storm Incoming

Jonathan Carr 🕔16:35, 1.Dec 2019

Discussion: Phase 1 is about complete. The division between wintry and non-wintry precip went about as expected (somewhere near/along I-95). The wintry area verified colder than expected however. Didn’t think I’d see it snowing that hard in Giants Stadium and

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