Discussion: I wanted to wait until today’s model suite completed regarding the developing hurricane situation in the Gulf of Mexico. What’s currently classified by the National Hurricane Center as Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine will soon be named Helene. Right now,
Discussion: The rainfall did not produce much earlier this week. SNJ saw some drizzle/light rain at times but for the most part, our water tables are continuing to lessen. The remnants from the tropical disturbance sheared out to the ocean
Discussion: It looks like we’re finally going to enter a wetter pattern. I know it sucks for outdoor interests but it is much needed for our natural water tables. This wet pattern should start between Tuesday PM and Wednesday AM
Discussion: I’m seeing the anomalously high geopotential height anomalies over SE Canada lasting though our entire forecast period…out through next weekend. If you’re a snow lover, you want to see this type of block over Greenland, not over SE Canada.
Discussion: I really enjoy these current conditions…when fall temporarily wins the tug of war towards the end of a summer. We’re allowed to have multiple favorites in a four-season state. The tropical mid-summer feel (if you are near pool, beach,
Discussion: Real quick, today’s (Thursday) highs peaked in the 70s but areas SE of I-95/NJTP saw higher levels of humidity than areas NW of such. The recently established onshore flow (High in Gulf of Maine + Low SW of Bermuda)
Discussion: One upper-level feature to note from 250mb wind analysis is a strong coupled upper jet over NJ in the Saturday-Sunday period later this week. This could enhance the expected rainfall in that time frame. This idea aligns with the
Discussion: This weekend, a decaying ridge over the E US will give way to the bottom/backside of a trough. This will change the upper flow from a warm and humid S/SW source to a dry and comfortable/chilly at night N/NW
Discussion: I’m seeing mostly ridging this week over the E US including NJ. This will allow temps and humidity to build today and especially tomorrow before a stormfront pushes through from N to S, driven by high pressure to our
Discussion: The E side of a ridge will hold our pleasant feel in place a little longer but as the E side of a trough approaches, humidity will gradually build between Friday and Sunday night—setting the stage for a humid
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