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Posts From Jonathan Carr

More Unsettled Conditions

More Unsettled Conditions

🕔16:49, 12.May 2025

Discussion: Let’s call it what it was. After Friday’s rain and storms, beautiful conditions (pollen aside) settled across the region for Saturday through today. Tonight, we’ll lose that as a rain system moves in from the S from a decaying

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Good Stuff after Friday

Good Stuff after Friday

🕔12:03, 9.May 2025

Discussion: With no major features over the next week, the upper-jet looks rather inconclusive IMO. Stepping down to 500mb, again no major features. A current upper-low will move out after today (Friday) as ridging establishes across the Mid-Atlantic and NorthEast

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More Unsettled Conditions

More Unsettled Conditions

🕔14:41, 4.May 2025

Discussion: Temps tonight should drop to about 60 statewide, give or take a few degrees, as periods of rain continue moving through on-and-off. The upper low remains trapped to the S of the Great Lakes. It will reach peak intensity

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An Early Taste of Unsettled Summer

An Early Taste of Unsettled Summer

🕔22:00, 1.May 2025

Discussion: This weekend looks warm and stormy. An upper closed-off low will get stuck to the S of the Great Lakes and slowly meander across NJ from W to E over the next 5-6 days or so. We can thank

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A Mixed Bag of Conditions

A Mixed Bag of Conditions

🕔17:26, 25.Apr 2025

Discussion: The upper jet should dip over NJ this weekend but not too far S of NJ…more right over as a weak trough. This will allow a disturbance to pass through and bring rain, possibly thunderstorms, to NJ between late

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Nice Conditions

Nice Conditions

🕔16:11, 21.Apr 2025

Discussion: This entire week in NJ should occur under positive height anomalies. This means mild conditions at the surface with little rain outside of passing spring showers here and there. The next rain system looks to arrive late Friday night

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Mild and Breezy

Mild and Breezy

🕔15:04, 18.Apr 2025

Discussion: The foreseeable upper-level pattern indicates alternating ridging and zonal flows. At the lower levels this means sustained spring warmth. Expect a hotter day Saturday (tomorrow) followed by Sunday-Monday in the 60s. But after that it looks like every day

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Windy Conditions Ahead

Windy Conditions Ahead

🕔16:30, 14.Apr 2025

Discussion: Another trough will pass through midweek, producing cooler conditions for ~Wednesday. But before and after that look mild with temps into 60s for most areas. The arrival of the trough could produce some showers and thunderstorms late tonight/Tuesday. Saturday

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Nasty Start. Improvement Expected Sunday

Nasty Start. Improvement Expected Sunday

🕔17:29, 11.Apr 2025

Discussion: Isn’t it funny how you can go all of March without wintry precipitation (most areas) and then have to deal with some in April? It’s downright nasty outside right now. Cold and rainy and that should be the case

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Cool Cloudy and Unsettled

Cool Cloudy and Unsettled

🕔14:01, 7.Apr 2025

Discussion: A trough is swinging into place over the NE US. It’s not a deep nor negative tilted trough but certainly packed with below-average temperatures for the region which will influence NJ this week. Much of our precipitation the last

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