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Posts From Jonathan Carr

A Cold Dip (March 29-April 2)

A Cold Dip (March 29-April 2)

Jonathan Carr 🕔22:23, 28.Mar 2021

Discussion: The upper-jet looks very wavy and meridional over the next week or so. The lows are obviously not dipping as far S anymore as our p-types have been mostly rain and driven by cold frontal passages to the S

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Unsettled Conditions (March 26-28)

Unsettled Conditions (March 26-28)

Jonathan Carr 🕔14:01, 26.Mar 2021

Discussion: Most of our pattern, this weekend into next week, will be heavily influenced by a few low pressure systems passing to our far NW. There’s one right now dragging a mostly-dry cold front through. Today, we’re experiencing the warm

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Spring is Here (March 22-26)

Spring is Here (March 22-26)

Jonathan Carr 🕔00:54, 22.Mar 2021

Discussion: Nothing serious or hazardous expected for this week. The most noteworthy mention IMO are the sustained milder temperatures. Most of NJ should have no problem reaching 60 this week almost every day and in some cases 70 away from

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Clear and Cool but Nice (March 19-21)

Clear and Cool but Nice (March 19-21)

Jonathan Carr 🕔23:09, 18.Mar 2021

Discussion: Precipitation should end shortly after midnight tonight (Thursday night). SNJ is finishing strong now with heavy downpours, increased winds, and possibly an isolated boomer or two. Upper-level ridging will then build over the NorthEast/Mid-Atlantic US through Monday with a

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Unsettled Conditions (March 15-19)

Unsettled Conditions (March 15-19)

Jonathan Carr 🕔00:12, 15.Mar 2021

Discussion: High pressure just N of the Great Lakes is flow-teaming with low pressure in the NW Atlantic. Tight isobars between are currently (as of late-Sunday night) producing cold and gusty conditions to end the weekend and start Monday morning.

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Milder Conditions (March 8-12)

Milder Conditions (March 8-12)

Jonathan Carr 🕔14:52, 8.Mar 2021

Discussion: Monday looks like a day of transition as the colder air mass departs to our NE. N/NW flow will slowly give way to W/NW and ultimately W/SW flow by early Tuesday. This will allow warmer air from the SE

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Clear but Cold (March 5-7)

Clear but Cold (March 5-7)

Jonathan Carr 🕔15:23, 4.Mar 2021

Discussion: The backside of a trough over the NE US will feed our area with colder NW flow at the upper levels from now (Thursday) through most of the weekend until a narrow positive-axis trough swings through between Sunday and

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Mixed Conditions (March 1-5)

Mixed Conditions (March 1-5)

Jonathan Carr 🕔15:08, 28.Feb 2021

Discussion: We should stay cold and rainy tonight into tomorrow morning as our weak but prolonged disturbance moves through. Tomorrow (Monday) winds should pick up out of the W/NW after late-AM clearing and persist into some of Tuesday. Peak wind

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Milder and Unsettled (Feb 26-28)

Milder and Unsettled (Feb 26-28)

Jonathan Carr 🕔11:20, 26.Feb 2021

Discussion: An area of high pressure is moving through from W to E. It brought us a cold Thursday night but will now moderate temperatures with it’s departing return flow. The ocean is running 38-39F but the sun should take

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Feb 21: Light Snow Event approaching NNJ

Feb 21: Light Snow Event approaching NNJ

Jonathan Carr 🕔15:20, 21.Feb 2021

Discussion: Tonight should be another cold one. Nothing crazy record breaking but lows dropping below freezing statewide (into 20s for much of NJ). The high pressure, that drove down the decaying Arctic air mass over NJ this weekend, will pass

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