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July 28: Watching the Tropics

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A tropical wave in the Atlantic Ocean will become a tropical depression in the next few days and ultimately Bertha. Despite being surrounded by dry air, this wave is indeed showing signs of strengthening. Current projected track is extremely uncertain this far out but model guidance is suggesting Leeward Island impact of the Lesser Antilles later this week. If the storm were to take that path it would likely re-curve out to sea and possibly threaten the Bermuda region. This would rough up the surf along the Jersey Shore but that would be the extend of impact. I’ll be following this one closely.

Tropical spaghetti model plot courtesy of WeatherBell Analytics. Be safe! JC

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