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Great Conditions Settle In

Great Conditions Settle In

🕔15:40, 28.May 2024

Discussion: After a very pleasant and comfortable Monday, lower height fields will move over NJ to make for only a slightly-unsettled Wednesday into Thursday (nice conditions most of the day but afternoon/evening isolated showers and boomers possible). Once the trough

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Memorial Day Weekend Outlook

Memorial Day Weekend Outlook

🕔14:12, 23.May 2024

Discussion: First, a moment of silence and respect for those who have fallen while serving and protecting our great country and way of life. The upper-levels look fairly mundane this weekend with no anomalous geopotential heights in either direction. We’re

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Heat and Humidity Arrive

Heat and Humidity Arrive

🕔01:09, 20.May 2024

Discussion: This week is pretty straightforward. Mostly ridging in the upper levels which will lead to a warmer surface temperature profile. Some heat and humidity mid-week! Frontal passage Thursday PM (likely stormy after the warmer temps and elevated humidity). This

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Pattern Starts to Improve

Pattern Starts to Improve

🕔09:24, 17.May 2024

Discussion: It looks like some ridging will finally re-establish for the E US this weekend and next week. This will allow milder temperatures to build as we enter more of a summery pattern rather than a rainy spring pattern. Today

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Rainy Pattern Continues

Rainy Pattern Continues

🕔21:20, 13.May 2024

Discussion: This week looks horrible for outdoor plans through Saturday. Nothing dangerous. But horrible for outdoor interests. We don’t need the rain. We are far from a drought. But here comes more of it. The upper-levels coincide with the lower-levels

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Mixed and Unsettled Conditions

Mixed and Unsettled Conditions

🕔14:13, 9.May 2024

Discussion: Let’s get the rant out of the way first. I, like many of you, are frustrated with the great sunny mid-week days and chillier rainy weekends. I realize not everyone else works M-F (some work weekends and even 7

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Tracking Thunderstorms

Tracking Thunderstorms

🕔15:00, 7.May 2024

Discussion: The rest of today (Tuesday) should remain nice however tomorrow (Wednesday) and Thursday are being targeted by showers and thunderstorms. I don’t think we’re looking at a severe outbreak but at least a “it’s warm season thunderstorm time” feel

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Unsettled and Mild

Unsettled and Mild

🕔13:18, 6.May 2024

Discussion: A shallow split flow pattern is happening across the continental US through this week and weekend, seen from 250mb analysis. The separate streams are only about 1000 miles apart from California through the Central US before interacting closer for

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Wet and Chilly

Wet and Chilly

🕔15:49, 3.May 2024

Discussion: A ridge will remain in place over the E US for most of this weekend. High pressure on the front of that ridge will park and meander over the NE US through Saturday before then tracking southward towards Bermuda

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New Jersey Embraces the Warmth

New Jersey Embraces the Warmth

🕔14:22, 29.Apr 2024

Discussion: We’ve finally turned the corner towards the warmer months of the year. I can handle a cold March but a cold April chaps my posterior. For much of April, either onshore flow (45-55F) or N/NW flow (even chillier) has

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