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Aug 26: Weekend Impacts from Hurricane Laura

Aug 26: Weekend Impacts from Hurricane Laura

Jonathan Carr 🕔14:11, 26.Aug 2020

Discussion: Laura is a category 4 (major) hurricane in the Gulf of Mexico heading for a landfall just on the LA side of the TX/LA gulf coast border later this evening. There’s actually a small chance of reaching category 5

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Aug 25: Storm Front Approaching

Aug 25: Storm Front Approaching

Jonathan Carr 🕔13:28, 25.Aug 2020

Discussion: New Jersey is currently on the W (back) side of a trough that is primarily developing over SE Canada and NE US. A small upper-level disturbance is rounding the back-side of this trough which is enhancing the jet streak

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Mixed Conditions (Aug 24-28)

Mixed Conditions (Aug 24-28)

Jonathan Carr 🕔15:14, 24.Aug 2020

Discussion: Let’s first talk about the setup for NJ before we talk about the tropics. We currently have a progressive trough swinging through the NE US. It’s nose will push through the N Mid-Atlantic US (NJ) on Tuesday which could

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Summery Conditions (Aug 21-23)

Summery Conditions (Aug 21-23)

Jonathan Carr 🕔13:25, 21.Aug 2020

Discussion: We have two upper-jets involved in this weekend’s pattern. The southern jet has formed a trough over the general interior SE US. The northern jet is a bit more zonal and should eventually take over as the primary for

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Long-Range WeatherTrends360 Outlook

Long-Range WeatherTrends360 Outlook

Jonathan Carr 🕔12:17, 17.Aug 2020

It’s time to harness WeatherTrends360 technology and look at how the rest of August 2020 should play out as well as an early look at the first half of September 2020. WeatherTrends360 algorithms are documented with an 84% verification rate

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More Mixed Conditions (Aug 17-21)

More Mixed Conditions (Aug 17-21)

Jonathan Carr 🕔23:44, 16.Aug 2020

Discussion: A shallow but sharp trough will swing through the region for the first half of the week. NJ will see SW flow aloft for Monday into Tuesday then NW flow aloft for Wednesday into Thursday. By Friday it’s back

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Mixed Conditions (Aug 14-16)

Mixed Conditions (Aug 14-16)

Jonathan Carr 🕔13:27, 13.Aug 2020

Discussion: To address today (Thursday, Aug 13) real quick, we still have an area of convergence along a near-stationary frontal boundary positioned right over the I-95/NJTP corridor. This is producing more near-stationary downpours and thunderstorms for CNJ and SNJ capable

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Unsettled Conditions (Aug 10-14)

Unsettled Conditions (Aug 10-14)

Jonathan Carr 🕔13:55, 10.Aug 2020

Discussion: Again, not much to speak of in the upper-levels. The upper-jet should stay well N of NJ with any jet streaks weak and zonal. 500mb height analysis indicates we’ll be under a weak ridge centered over SE Canada/NE US/N

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Small Window of Relief (Aug 7-9)

Small Window of Relief (Aug 7-9)

Jonathan Carr 🕔15:42, 6.Aug 2020

Discussion: There’s nothing really worth discussing in the upper-levels. 250mb jet analysis and 500mb geopotential height analysis indicate no major features to worry about. The main player this weekend will be an area of high pressure tracking from the Great

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Aug 4: Isaias is Here

Aug 4: Isaias is Here

Jonathan Carr 🕔12:03, 4.Aug 2020

Discussion: Hope everyone is staying safe out there! The eye of Isaias remnants is currently moving from N Delaware into SWNJ. This will calm the winds for SWNJ but NNJ and CNJ will remain under gusty E winds while SENJ

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