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Unsettled Start. Spectacular Finish

Unsettled Start. Spectacular Finish

🕔09:12, 12.Sep 2022

Discussion: The gloomy and muggy theme should continue into Tuesday thanks to a warm sector giving way to a cold front. Monday into Tuesday have a good chance for rain and storms given the upper level dynamics. Starting Tuesday night,

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Pleasant Start Unsettled Finish

Pleasant Start Unsettled Finish

🕔14:23, 9.Sep 2022

Discussion: We’re stuck at the N top of a steep east coast ridge Friday and Saturday before giving way to a phasing trough in Canada with lower heights for Sunday night into Wednesday. Higher heights and NW upper-level flow return

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Mixed Conditions Expected

Mixed Conditions Expected

🕔12:42, 5.Sep 2022

Discussion: I’m not seeing any upper-level features that stand out either this week or this coming weekend. Most New Jersey weather will be driven by nearby highs and lows and their respective positioning/flow. In the immediate time frame (Monday night

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Great Start to Labor Day Weekend

Great Start to Labor Day Weekend

🕔17:41, 31.Aug 2022

Discussion: A broad area of high pressure will control New Jersey and surrounding areas this weekend. Basically a high pressure cycle. Cool and dry winds out of the N as the high approaches (now through Friday AM). Warm and tranquil

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Thunderstorms Approaching

Thunderstorms Approaching

🕔15:14, 30.Aug 2022

Discussion: The stormfront and cold front keep pushing forward in time. When I first started to look at this last week (See Aug 26 weekend outlook), the timing was modeled as more of a Wednesday night into Thursday morning thing.

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Wednesday Thunderstorm Update

Wednesday Thunderstorm Update

🕔15:25, 29.Aug 2022

Discussion: Just wanted to focus in on some more details for this week. Today (Monday) and tomorrow (Tuesday) still look to feature the immediate warm sector leading up to a cold front. That means today and tomorrow will remain warm

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Awesome Weather to Return after Muggy Start

Awesome Weather to Return after Muggy Start

🕔15:29, 28.Aug 2022

Discussion: Most of NJ is mixed with sun and clouds with a dank feel today. Some near-stationary downpours and thunderstorms started this morning in Ocean County and have since (as of Sunday afternoon) spread further into SNJ/SWNJ. These cells are

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Unsettled but Summery

Unsettled but Summery

🕔14:13, 26.Aug 2022

Discussion: It looks like the upper jet will stay N of NJ until later next week. The tip of a weak trough to our N will allow a drier Friday night into Saturday morning. As a surface low moves out

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Tropics Finally Awaken

Tropics Finally Awaken

🕔15:37, 25.Aug 2022

Discussion: For the immediate future we’ll generally stay warm, humid, and slightly unsettled through about Wednesday of next week. Model consensus has consistently suggested a break in the pattern starting next Thursday which would produce stellar conditions for Labor Day

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Unsettled Start then Heat Builds

Unsettled Start then Heat Builds

🕔11:56, 22.Aug 2022

Discussion: A disturbance is rotating through, mainly drive by a low tracking through NY State and some lowering pressure just offshore of NJ. This provided enough lift for overnight thunderstorms and will continue to do so until Tuesday. By Tuesday

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