Discussion: Right now, we have lower heights breaking down over coastal New England and the Mid-Atlantic US. A very positive-axis trough will situate to the NW of us and hold an upper-level SW flow over NJ through about Thursday. Today
Discussion: A series of flat troughs will dominate the NE US pattern with below-average temperatures through at least mid-May. However, there will be some warm, even hot, days checkered here and there in 2-3 day clusters…mainly from being in front
Discussion: All signs are continuing to point towards below-average temperatures and above-average rainfall for the close of April into the first third of May. Today (Monday) and tomorrow should be the mildest days for a while, possibly until May 10-15.
Discussion: Most people will be disappointed in the rainy weekend, however, our grounds will embrace the rain as happy as the woman in this image. A split flow pattern will form over the SE US this weekend putting NJ under
Discussion: We’re currently under a trough which means lower geopotential heights. With the higher sun angle destabilizing the surface under the colder lower-mid and mid-level conditions aloft, we’re seeing some hail with these passing isolated showers moving through, especially those
Discussion: We’re going to see the bottom of a trough swing through NJ from Sunday PM through Wednesday morning. Typically, the current warmth surge would build hotter and more humid each day until the Sunday frontal system. However, we did
Discussion: This week’s weather will be driven by an E US ridge supported by high pressure just N of Bermuda. So, lots of SW or S/SW flow into NJ driving a warmer pattern. This looks to flex Tues-Thurs with Wed
Discussion: The upper-levels indicate a gradually developing ridge for the E US from now until about April 20ish. This signals prolonged mild temperatures (likely above average) for at least that stretch. There will likely be some kind of synoptic rainmaker
Discussion: The upper jet should stay in a zonal pattern with split flow at times this week. The back side of a departing trough will keep NJ chillier today (Monday) through Thursday morning. Then Thursday into the weekend rebounds with
Discussion: After today’s (Thursday) chillier day, milder SW flow will re-establish by early Friday morning to produce a milder weekend. Spring showers possible at any time (isolated and passing kind) but most of the weekend looks okay. A frontal system,
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