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Weekend Outlook – Solid Improvement

Weekend Outlook – Solid Improvement

🕔13:44, 19.Jun 2026

Discussion: The upper levels continue to indicate a zonal flow across the US this weekend into next week. This translates to more of a W/NW to W/SW wind direction at the surface which you’ll see in the days broken down

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Another Buildup and Reset

Another Buildup and Reset

🕔16:32, 15.Jun 2026

Discussion: The upper levels suggest a zonal flow this week with height anomalies leaning slightly negative for NJ. At the surface this should produce another beautiful day (like Monday – today) for Tuesday but then unsettled humidity Wed-Fri. Wednesday seems

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Cold Front to Knock Down Humidity

Cold Front to Knock Down Humidity

🕔14:19, 12.Jun 2026

Discussion: The current tropical air mass (beneath the E US ridge) will give us one more hot and humid day today (Friday). We’ll mostly be in a warm sector flow ahead of a cold front which will make the heat

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Time for Some Changes

Time for Some Changes

🕔00:56, 9.Jun 2026

Discussion: This article will begin with a rant. The last thunderstorm outbreak (Saturday-Sunday) really bothered me, specifically the disconnect between the professional forecasting base and public consumers of weather forecasting. I absolutely hate that Severe Thunderstorms (for wind) are determined

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Who turned up the Heat?

Who turned up the Heat?

🕔15:49, 5.Jun 2026

Discussion: The jet stream will remain N of NJ (ridging) for the foreseeable future, except for this Saturday into Sunday when a positive and progressive trough will quickly move through. This is not enough for a washout but more of

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Sustained Warmth Settles In

Sustained Warmth Settles In

🕔16:14, 1.Jun 2026

Discussion: Upper-level analysis confirms that we are now under the influence of the Omega block, particularly the N flow moving down and around the W side of the leading trough. This is going to produce northerly winds in general between

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We’re Getting There

We’re Getting There

🕔13:52, 29.May 2026

Discussion: The Omega block, mentioned earlier this week in the weekly outlook, is taking shape and will deliver a cooler/drier NW flow to NJ this weekend (rounding the E trough of the Omega block setup). For that reason, Saturday might

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From Stormy to Beautiful

From Stormy to Beautiful

🕔16:31, 26.May 2026

Discussion: It’s been some roller coaster of temperatures the last month or so. I’ve seen record low high temps (ex: afternoon high only reaches 58) and record high temps (afternoon high reaches 98) occur in the last few weeks and

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Bad Timing. Good for Drought Concerns.

Bad Timing. Good for Drought Concerns.

🕔23:04, 21.May 2026

Discussion: The forecast for this Memorial Day Weekend is not great. I held off as long as possible making this forecast, hoping for change. But there has been no change. We’re in for a cloudy, rainy, windy weekend from at

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Volatile Temperature Swings

Volatile Temperature Swings

🕔17:29, 18.May 2026

Discussion: The upper jet will remain well N of NJ through at least Wednesday morning. This will allow upper level heights to continue ridging for the E US, especially the Mid-Atlantic US/NJ. At the surface this means well above average

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