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Pre-Christmas Storm Update

Pre-Christmas Storm Update

🕔23:53, 18.Dec 2022

Discussion: I wanted to give it through 00Z model data tonight, at least to the GFS run, to confirm the trend that has occurred this weekend and what it means for the December 22-24 storm signal. It’s bad news for

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Colder and Drier. Watching Next Week.

Colder and Drier. Watching Next Week.

🕔16:08, 16.Dec 2022

Discussion: The current system is pulling away to the NE. Behind it, we’re left with colder and drier W/NW flow at the surface (NW flow aloft). The temp and dew point should peel away from each other with a significantly

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White Christmas Storm Signal

White Christmas Storm Signal

🕔15:28, 15.Dec 2022

Discussion: The current system today should begin tapering off for SNJ after midnight tonight. It will continue to taper from SW to NE and will take longer for CNJ and then ultimately NNJ by later tomorrow. Most areas should clear

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Coastal Storm Approaching

Coastal Storm Approaching Updated

🕔16:58, 14.Dec 2022

Discussion: Just a few small tweaks to a final forecast heading into the Thursday-Friday event that we’ve been tracking. Yesterday’s article covered all the principal dynamics involved and those have not changed: Primary low cuts into the Great Lakes, encounters

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Another NNJ Snow Event Detected

Another NNJ Snow Event Detected Updated

🕔16:58, 13.Dec 2022

Discussion: We’re now close enough to suggest a forecast for Thursday-Friday. We’ve watched this superblock linger near Greenland for a while now. This block will likely be located to the S of Greenland this Thursday-Friday. A primary surface low will

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Snow Approaching NWNJ

Snow Approaching NWNJ

🕔12:47, 11.Dec 2022

Discussion: Precipitation is currently moving in from the W/NW. A snow/rain line is forming somewhere between I-80 and I-78 on the W side of NJ. This should extend over into NENJ but likely NW of I-95/NJTP. Precipitation should fall on-and-off

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Turning Colder Again. Sunday night NWNJ Snow?

Turning Colder Again. Sunday night NWNJ Snow?

🕔15:47, 8.Dec 2022

Discussion: Real quick, most areas should fall into the upper-20s/lower-30s tonight. This should end the very mild conditions we saw this week. I know I have been eyeing up the Dec 11-17 period for favorable snowstorm development conditions in prior

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Mild and Unsettled this Week. Still Watching Period Beyond.

Mild and Unsettled this Week. Still Watching Period Beyond.

🕔09:00, 5.Dec 2022

Discussion: The anomalously high (geo heights) ridge has formed and is still expected to meander around/over Greenland until at least Dec 17th. We’re going to see a milder week this week as heights actually build up the E US coast

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More Volatile Conditions

More Volatile Conditions

🕔10:33, 2.Dec 2022

Discussion: While forecasters continue to drool over the anomalous blocking signal expected to begin next week, let’s stay focused on what’s in front of us this weekend. A ridge will build over the Northeast US today (Friday) before handing off

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Storm Update and Future Snow Chat

Storm Update and Future Snow Chat

🕔15:54, 30.Nov 2022

Discussion: The primary low in Canada is down to 978mb. Isobars are tightening and the attached cold front drapes all the way down into the SE US. High pressure is materializing over Oklahoma and will soon drift eastward, reinforcing the

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