Discussion: An upper-level trough/low will dominate the weather pattern this weekend. The bright higher-angle April sun will reach the ground but under a condensed (heights-wise) environment with low pressure aloft. This arrangement/mechanism can provide adequate lift and saturation at lower levels which is why isolated showers can break out at almost anytime or any day of the weekend. This setup will also be responsible for highs maxed in the 50s and lows still reaching down into the 30s overnight. Then one more day of this frustrating setup on Monday. Tuesday-forward looks much milder and even considered hot to some. Should last until about Friday with a cold frontal passage that should setup a cooler weekend (but not cold). Next weekend looks much more settled than this weekend rain-wise. Likely just mixed skies.
Friday (April 8) high temperatures should reach the mid-to-upper 50s for most areas. Maybe some CNJ/SNJ spots break 60. Skies should transition from mostly sunny (for most of the day) to mixed with showers possible late-afternoon/evening and especially overnight. Winds should be light out of the W/SW. Overnight lows should fall into the 40s for most areas as rain possibilities continue into Saturday.
Saturday (April 9) high temperatures should reach the mid-50s for most areas. Skies should be mixed with sun, clouds, and isolated showers. NNJ looks a little cloudier/rainier than CNJ/SNJ. Winds should remain light out of the W/SW. Overnight lows should fall into the upper-30s/lower-40s.
Sunday (April 10) high temperatures should reach near-50 for most areas. Skies should be mixed with sun and clouds. Again, can’t rule out isolated showers. Winds should be breezy out of the W/NW. Overnight lows should fall into the 30s statewide.
An early look at next week indicates one more day on Monday, where highs max in the 50s. Tuesday-forward looks very mild relative to what we’ve recently endured. We’re talking 70s, maybe 80 for much of the state (immediate coast possibly held in the 60s). More routine spring showers possible any day. Might see a stormy cold front Thurs-Fri to set up a cooler weekend but not cold (highs in the lower-60s lows near-40 type stuff). As of right now next weekend looks dry. Everyone please enjoy this weekend and be safe! JC
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Jonathan Carr (JC) is the founder and sole operator of Weather NJ, New Jersey’s largest independent weather reporting agency. Since 2010, Jonathan has provided weather safety and forecasting services for New Jersey and immediate surrounding areas through the web, social media, and app spaces. Originally branded as Severe NJ Weather (before 2014), Weather NJ is proud to bring you accurate and responsible discussions ahead of high-stakes weather scenarios that impact the garden state. All Weather. All New Jersey.™