Cool Dry Weekend Expected (Mar 25-27)

Jonathan Carr
By March 25, 2016 12:52

Cool Dry Weekend Expected (Mar 25-27)

Once the cold front pushes any remaining showers and/or weak thunderstorms out to sea, we’re looking at a dry and sunny weekend. Cooler though. Let’s break it down:

Friday (Mar 25) high temperatures should reach well into the 60s for most with 70s possible for the interior coastal plain. Lingering showers and/or weak thunderstorms should eventually give way to clearing skies as the cold front moves through. Winds should be breezy out of the SW ahead of the cold front and then light out of the NW once the cold front is through. Overnight lows should fall into the 30s for most (40s along the coast).

Saturday (Mar 26) high temperatures should reach the mid-to-upper 50s statewide. Let’s allow a fractional chance of someone breaking 60 away from the ocean in CNJ/SNJ. Skies should be mostly sunny. Winds should be light out of the E/NE. Marine flow is what will keep the immediate coastal areas cooler than inland areas. Overnight lows should fall into the 30s for most (40s along the coast).

Sunday (Mar 27) high temperatures should reach the mid-to-upper 50s statewide. Let’s, again, allow a fractional chance of someone breaking 60 away from the ocean in CNJ/SNJ. Skies should be mostly sunny. Winds should be light out of the E for most (a little breezier along the coast). Once again, marine flow is what will keep the immediate coastal areas cooler than inland areas. Overnight lows however should only fall into the 40s statewide.

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An early look at next week indicates a rainy start on Monday followed by seasonably average temperatures mid-week. An Arctic air mass has been showing on model guidance surrounding the April 4-7 period. Such an air mass will have trouble chilling down the surface due to April sun angle and longer hours of daylight. It should however make for a chilly daytime feel and could get even more chilly overnight. The bottom line is that this air mass will not have as much impact as if it were mid-winter. I expect the air mass to moderate as it propagates from C. US to E. US. Nuisance cold and then we should be right back to beautiful spring conditions after. Have a great weekend and be safe! JC

I took the above photo of the Barnegat Bay from the docks of Barnegat, NJ

Jonathan Carr
By March 25, 2016 12:52