Jan 22: Watching Monday for Snow

Jonathan Carr
By Jonathan Carr January 22, 2015 18:26

Jan 22: Watching Monday for Snow

Regardless of how the snow/rain line plays out tomorrow night through Saturday, the associated low will be powerful. Guidance is unanimous on a sub 980mb low once it begins impacting New England on Saturday night-Sunday. This will pull very cold air into the region behind it and set the stage for a northern stream clipper-transfer much stronger than we’ve had in a while. Whether or not it’s cold enough will not be an issue with this storm. There is no threat of rain. The line of freezing will be well to the S/SE of coastal New Jersey. Here’s what the latest GFS has to say which is in close agreement with other guidance:

Monday morning (1AM to 7AM):

gfs

Monday morning-afternoon (7AM to 1PM): 

gfs

Given recent model accuracy, I’m going to approach this event with extreme caution and skepticism. Longer-range models have cried wolf a few times now this year where substantial snow events have fizzled in short-range guidance. The only reason I’m mentioning this system now is to help aggregate safety awareness for a potential travel-impact Monday morning. I’ll continue to monitor.

In English: After the Saturday storm moves out, another storm will move in from Canada Sunday night into Monday with very cold air. No rain is expected only snow but exact details will have to be ironed out mid-weekend. Be safe! JC

coupon Ramsey Outdoors

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Jonathan Carr
By Jonathan Carr January 22, 2015 18:26

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