Moving Forward (Sept 7-9)
Summery conditions are on their way back. Let’s break it down…
Nerdy Disco: Hermine will now fizzle out and absorb into the jet stream over the ridge moving into place. Her surface low has been stacked over the upper-level low for a while now which means all remaining vorticity/energy either has been, or will be exhausted soon as the overall cyclone occludes like a fart in the wind. Tidal cycles and wave heights are relaxing but rip currents are still very strong along the beaches. There’s still just a little bit of cyclonic flow around Hermine’s remnants which is why conditions are still cloudy and misty in some eastern locations. It appears the cloud line is currently splitting NJ in half from N to S. This will move out from W to E gradually today/this evening with summery conditions starting overnight and into tomorrow as the ridge builds overhead.
Wednesday (Sept 7) high temperatures should reach the mid-80s statewide with interior CNJ/SNJ a little closer to 90. Skies should improve to partly sunny skies as ENJ could take a little longer to shed the cloud cover. Humidity should be noticable. Winds should be light out of the N and gradually rock to the W. Overnight low should fall into the 60s for most with coastal areas possibly hanging around 70.
Thursday (Sept 8) high temperatures should reach well into the 80s with an even better chance of breaking 90 away from the ocean. Heat indices could approach 100, especially for the interior CNJ/SNJ area. Skies should be sunny and remain humid. Winds should be light out of the SW. Overnight lows should fall into the lower-70s statewide.
Friday (Sept 9) high temperatures should reach well into the 80s again statewide with interior regions likely getting close to/breaking 90 again. Again, heat indices could approach 100 for the interior CNJ/SNJ area. Skies should be partly-to-mostly sunny and humid. Let’s allow a small chance of an afternoon/evening shower or thunderstorm. Winds should be light out of the W. Overnight lows should fall into the 60s statewide
An early look at the weekend indicates a cold frontal passage. The front should be weak and do very little temperature wise. Reduced humidity should be the most noticeable feature once through. The best frontal storm activity should occur to our NE in New England with lesser activity for us. The timing of the front right now appears to be Saturday night into Sunday morning leaving both Saturday and Sunday daytime hours a little better off. I’ll have the full detailed weekend outlook posted tomorrow evening. Everyone have a great day and please be safe! JC