Unsettled Mild Weekend Expected (Feb 24-26)

Jonathan Carr
By Jonathan Carr February 23, 2017 20:01

Unsettled Mild Weekend Expected (Feb 24-26)

All sorts of weather expected this weekend. Let’s break it down…

Disco: So that there’s no confusion, the cover image only represents possible conditions Saturday evening. The entire weekend will not be rainy and stormy however it will start milder and finish colder. The warm front pushes through tomorrow. We’re then warm-sectored Friday night through most of Saturday before a cold front pushes rain and possible thunderstorms through Saturday night into Sunday. Sunday is then cooler which should bleed into next week—which also appears unsettled with rain chances.

Friday (Feb 24) high temperatures should reach into the 70s for most of New Jersey. Yes, flirting with 80 is on the table for interior CNJ/SNJ (especially closer to the Wilmington-Philly-Trenton area). Immediate coastal regions of SNJ might be held around 60 due to increased southerly winds. These winds bring warmth to areas away from the ocean but actually scoop up the colder air over the ocean for the coast. Skies should start with AM fog so please be careful! They should then improve and clear throughout the day. Winds should be breezy out of the S for most. Coastal areas could see those breezy winds possibly become gusty. Overnight lows should hang in the 50s statewide while we’re in the warm sector.

Saturday (Feb 25) high temperatures could go one of two ways. It depends on cloud coverage. If there are less clouds then the sun will bust temperatures high into the 70s again and that could aid in destabilizing the region for stronger PM thunderstorms. If there are more clouds then temperatures might be capped in the lower-60s and thunderstorm activity would be capped (mostly just a period of rain and winds along the cold front). Skies should start mixed but eventually a line of rain and possibly thunderstorms should move through no sooner than late-afternoon. Most model guidance is suggesting this to be between 8PM and midnight. Winds should be gusty out of the S for most of the day but should switch to the NW (still breezy/gusty) once the front is through. The initial S flow will again help warm areas away from the ocean while keeping the immediate coast cooler. Overnight lows should then fall into the 30s statewide.

Sunday (Feb 26) high temperatures should be capped in the 40s statewide. Skies should be mostly sunny. Winds should be breezy-to-gusty out of the W/NW. Overnight lows should fall into the 30s for most with NNJ elevations likely dipping into the 20s.

An early look at next week indicates a few chances for rain during the week centered around relatively mild temperatures. A few days might only top out in the upper-40s but most days should reach at least into the mid-50s. Once the disturbance(s) clear out, we would likely then chill down again for the weekend. Let’s revisit that on Sunday night. Everyone have a great weekend and please be safe! JC

 

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Jonathan Carr
By Jonathan Carr February 23, 2017 20:01

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