Wintry Week Expected (Mar 2-6)

We have a lot to talk about this week. A mild Wednesday sandwiched between snow on Tuesday and Thursday. In like a lion!

Monday should reach the mid to upper 30s statewide for high temperatures. Clouds should gradually clear with stiff NW winds. Hopefully those winds will help evaporate melting snow/ice because overnight lows are going down into the single digits and teens—increasing the chance for black ice.

Tuesday should reach the low to mid 30s for high temperatures. Overcast skies are likely with light southerly winds. Light to moderate snowfall is expected afternoon through evening. Only light accumulations are likely and it could end as rain from south to north. Overnight lows should range from mid-20s (NWNJ) to mid-30s (SENJ).

Wednesday should feature lingering rain from Tuesday’s disturbance. Temperatures should reach the mid-40s (maybe even 50s for extreme SENJ) which should feel very mild after recent weather. Overcast skies with on-and-off rain showers seems likely. Winds should be light out of the W/NW before overnight lows fall to around 30 statewide.

Thursday has my interest. Highs should reach the mid-20s to lower-30s with light NW winds and overcast skies. Significant to heavy snowfall is possible later in the evening once the rain changes back over to snow statewide. Overnight lows should fall into the single digits and teens. I’ll have an article out later today that speaks to more detail. I want to see the 12Z guidance sweet before fully committing.

Friday will likely be the coldest day of the week with the disturbance and front through. Highs should stay just below freezing with stiff W/NW winds. Skies should be mostly sunny once any morning cloud remnants move out to sea. Overnight lows then fall into the single digits and teens.

An early look at the weekend indicates temperatures more seasonal for March and dry conditions. Long-range WeatherTrends360 algorithms and most model guidance still indicates a turn towards mild temperatures around the March ~10 period. We’re almost there!

This Monday-Friday Outlook is proudly sponsored by weathertrends360 (www.weathertrends360.com). Through 150 years of world wide weather data analysis, weathertrends360 has developed proprietary algorithms and methods that predict weather up to a year with 84% accuracy. They are second to none in the long range so check them out for business planning, travel planning, etc.

Be safe and have a great week! JC

Jonathan Carr

Jonathan Carr (JC) is the founder and sole operator of Weather NJ, New Jersey’s largest independent weather reporting agency. Since 2010, Jonathan has provided weather safety and forecasting services for New Jersey and immediate surrounding areas through the web, social media, and app spaces. Originally branded as Severe NJ Weather (before 2014), Weather NJ is proud to bring you accurate and responsible discussions ahead of high-stakes weather scenarios that impact the garden state. All Weather. All New Jersey.™