Summer to Flex Harder
Discussion: The upper jet, observed at 250mb, should stay to the N of NJ through Wednesday and then dip below NJ heading into the weekend. This jives with 500mb analysis of a broad central US ridge giving way to a
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A Small Taste of Relief
Discussion: Upper level analysis for this week indicates a zonal jet overhead above the bottom tip of a progressive trough for Monday-Tuesday. A ridge then builds over NJ Wednesday into the weekend. This creates two different planets of look and
Unsettled but Relief On Deck
Discussion: Thanks to an overnight cold front, today feels better. The zonal upper level patten should continue through the weekend until a ridge sets up in the Midwest US and puts NJ under N/NW upper flow for Monday-Tuesday. The zonal
Humid Stormy Pattern Sustains
Discussion: What I’m seeing in the upper levels is the jet stream remaining to the N of NJ this entire week with positive geopotential height anomalies locked in. Not a defined ridge because the pattern is rather zonal. But this
Slightly Unsettled but Doable
Discussion: For the “wake me up when it snows” crowd, we’ve lost about 14 minutes since peak June daylight as we begin our initial descent towards the colder months. In the meantime, summer rages on with warm temps, relentless humidity,
Another Stormy Humid Night
Discussion: I’m thinking “Relentless Stormy Humidity” was a good title for this week’s weekly outlook. Last night’s (Tuesday night) storms produced most violently in WCNJ/SWNJ before fizzling a bit for the coast. NNJ saw less intense action. A few tornado
Thunderstorms Approaching Jersey
Discussion: With actual temps over 90 for most of NJ and dew points well into the 70s, most of NJ is sitting with a heat index of ~100-110 less Sussex County…as of about 4pm. I’m seeing some high levels of
Relentless Stormy Humidity
Discussion: I hope everyone had a great July 4th weekend! As promised, Friday was spectacular, and Saturday-Sunday saw a slow rebuild of humidity and temperatures. Here we are today (Monday) when the relentless humidity was expected to return. And that
Best July 4th Weather in Years
Discussion: A small trough is approaching NJ and will swing through between today (Thursday) and Sunday. As it approaches closer tonight (Thursday night), expect a series of showers and thunderstorms to start their strongest in NWNJ around 5-7pm and then
Rain and Storms to Break the Humidity
Discussion: It’s time for a cold front to push all this humid storminess out of the region. It’s going to be a process that starts tonight and ends Friday morning. Let’s dive into it… The surface map (shown above) indicates
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