Awwww Yeah! (June 9-11)

Summery weather is on tap for the weekend. Let’s break it down…

Discussion: That coastal storm just missed us to our SE. It’s currently wrapping up pretty tight (currently 999mb and dropping) and should graze the Cape Cod/Gulf of Maine area with rain and wind through Friday evening. A ridge will build in the wake of this system. It’s nice to see 500mb heights modeled in the 591dam area by the end of the weekend which means warmth at all levels of the low-mid atmosphere. We might even see a capping inversion near the 680-750mb pressure altitude which would provide convective inhibition for afternoon pop-up thunderstorm formation. This should result in a very summery sky…not like the fall sky we’ve gotten used to during the prolonged stretch of cold air aloft/mild air at the surface. Regardless, the weekend should transition from warm and pleasant to hot and muggy with Friday carrying the best chance for pop-ups. Tonight should be the last night heat is needed for many places. This weather has been long overdue after the cool and wet May/early June. 

Friday (June 9) high temperatures should reach the upper-70s for elevations and immediate coastal areas. Interior CNJ/SNJ could reach into the 80s. Skies should be mixed with sun and clouds. Isolated showers and thunderstorms are possible during afternoon/early-evening hours. Overnight lows should fall into the upper-50s/lower-60s. Watch out for any isolated patches of fog that might form.

Saturday (June 10) high temperatures should likely break 80 for many areas and in some localized cases 90 away from the ocean. Skies should be mostly sunny. Morning hours should feel drier than PM hours as humidity begins to trickle in. Winds should be light out of the SW. Overnight lows should fall into the 60s statewide. Again, watch out for any isolated patches of fog that might form as warm and moist air invades a generally dry air mass.

Sunday (June 11) high temperatures should break 90 for many areas. Skies should be mostly sunny with noticeably-increased humidity. Winds should be light-to-breezy out of the S/SW. Overnight lows should fail to dip below 65.

An early look at next week indicates continued heat and humidity to start the week. By next weekend temperatures should recede to seasonably average parameters (highs in the lower-80s). Seeing two rain chances for now along frontal boundary passages Wednesday and Friday. Let’s revisit on Sunday evening.

I tool the above photo a few years ago from Holgate, NJ (Southern tip of Long Beach Island). Everyone have a great weekend, use sun block and please be safe! JC

Jonathan Carr

Jonathan Carr (JC) is the founder and sole operator of Weather NJ, New Jersey’s largest independent weather reporting agency. Since 2010, Jonathan has provided weather safety and forecasting services for New Jersey and immediate surrounding areas through the web, social media, and app spaces. Originally branded as Severe NJ Weather (before 2014), Weather NJ is proud to bring you accurate and responsible discussions ahead of high-stakes weather scenarios that impact the garden state. All Weather. All New Jersey.™