Cold and Dry for the Holidays (Dec 24-28)

Jonathan Carr
By Jonathan Carr December 24, 2018 11:05

Cold and Dry for the Holidays (Dec 24-28)

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Discussion: The upper levels appear flat/zonal through this week and into the weekend. At the surface high pressure should slowly float through the E US from Monday through most of Thursday. That should keep temps near-average under dry conditions. I just want to make a small note that W/NW flow over the Great Lakes could produce lake-effect flurries across PA/NY and possibly NWNJ. Again a very small chance of this and without any accumulations if they happen. Late Thursday night into much of Friday looks rainy as a low cuts well to our W over the Great Lakes. Once the precip shuts off later Friday, as rain for all of NJ, a cold front should come through and take us back to dry and cold for the weekend. I am still looking ahead to the first half of January for the next snow chances depending on what happens with the stratospheric warming event/potential Polar Vortex split. We’re still likely 2 weeks away from the E US mid-latitude tropospheric implications of such. Until then nothing major on the horizon winter storm-wise.

Monday (Dec 24) high temperatures should reach the low-to-mid 40s for most. Skies should gradually decrease in cloudiness. Winds should be light-to-breezy out of the W. Overnight lows should range from mid-20s to lower-30s NNJ to SNJ.

Tuesday (Dec 25) high temperatures should reach near-40 for most. Skies should be partly sunny. Winds should be light out of the W/NW. Overnight lows should fall into the 20s for most.

Wednesday (Dec 26) high temperatures should reach near-40 for most. Skies should be mostly sunny. Winds should remain light out of the W/NW. Overnight lows should fall into the 20s again for most.

Thursday (Dec 27) high temperatures should reach the low-to-mid 40s for most. Skies should gradually increase in cloudiness. Winds should be light out of the S. Overnight lows should range from lower-30s to lower-40s NNJ to SNJ as rainfall approaches and possibly begins before midnight.

Friday (Dec 28) high temperatures should reach near-60s for most. Skies should be mostly cloudy with periods of rainfall likely. Winds should be breezy out of the S/SW. Overnight lows should fall into the 40s for most as conditions improve by Saturday morning.

An early look at the weekend indicates temperatures returning to near-average once everything clears out from the Thursday PM/Friday rain system. For now Saturday and Sunday appear dry, sunny and breezy. Let’s take another look on Thursday. Merry Christmas, have a great week and please be safe! JC

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Jonathan Carr
By Jonathan Carr December 24, 2018 11:05