Feb 11: What to Expect for Thursday-Friday

Jonathan Carr
By February 11, 2015 19:23

Feb 11: What to Expect for Thursday-Friday

A weak clipper system is currently moving in from the W/NW. It will transfer to the coast and intensify as it pulls away but probably too late for any substantial impact to New Jersey. All I’m going to leave on the table is anything from a coating to an inch statewide. If someone gets 2 inches, consider yourself luckier than the next person(s) who win the PowerBall Lottery.

Scattered snow showers seem like the most probable scenario with maybe…and I mean “maybe” a few snow squalls worst case scenario. Here’s the latest GFS showing 850mb pressure, temperature and precipitation for the time period of interest (Thursday afternoon through Friday morning):

gfs

gfs

In English: Weak snow showers are possible tomorrow afternoon through Friday morning. Anything from a coating to an inch of snow is possible with NNJ favored over SNJ. Let’s see what overnight and tomorrow’s guidance says about Saturday night into Sunday. Anything from just another round of snow showers to a significant snowfall is still possible so we have to narrow down the uncertainties more. I’ll have a nice article out tomorrow evening that covers all guidance and my updated thoughts. Thanks for your patience during this train wreck of a winter for the snow lover (or heaven for the snow hater). Be safe! JC

Jonathan Carr
By February 11, 2015 19:23