Great Start. Mixed Finish

Jonathan Carr
By June 9, 2022 13:48

Great Start. Mixed Finish

Discussion: Temperatures and dew points are currently butt-cheeking apart which is evidence that the front is through. We’re now under stable W/NW flow coming from a cooler and drier air mass over the lakes. Tonight should feel pretty amazing and that should spill right through all of Friday into Friday night. Humidity returns a little for Saturday but otherwise a good start to the day. By Saturday afternoon/evening hours, extremely isolated showers and thunderstorms could pop off. It looks much better than the synoptic surface low idea that was showing earlier this week but still unsettled enough to have an umbrella/tent plan in place for outdoor activities. Sunday now looks like the wettest day of the weekend with a slower-moving frontal passage from W to E during late-morning/early afternoon hours. The weekend, in general is governed by below-average height anomalies meaning it will be easier for the atmosphere to squeeze out rain and form storms. Improvement is expected after that clears through Sunday night. Next week looks very summery for the last full week in spring. Seeing a ridge for the E US which should mean warmer and settled. No real synoptic threats. Any activity likely meso/local (ex: sea breeze front, cap break, etc.). Otherwise highs in the 80s, lows in the 60s and a mix of mostly sunny skies/some clouds. But for this weekend, an amazing Friday, mostly nice Saturday, and a few hour rainy/stormy period surrounding noon on Sunday.

Friday (June 10) high temperatures should reach the upper-70s, maybe near-80 in some spots. Low humidity should allow for a pleasant feel under mostly sunny skies. Winds should be light out of the W/SW. Overnight lows should range from mid-50s to mid-60s from elevations to coasts. Expect some humidity to return by daybreak Saturday.

Saturday (June 11) high temperatures should reach into the 70s for most areas. Skies should be mixed with sun and clouds with an unsettled look meaning showers and thunderstorms could be around, especially during PM hours. It looks much better than it did a few days ago but cannot take completely off table. Winds should be light out of the SE. Overnight lows should range from mid-50s to mid-60s from elevations to coasts.

Sunday (June 12) high temperatures should reach the mid-to-upper 70s for most areas. Skies should be mixed with sun and clouds but remain slightly unsettled meaning more shower and thunderstorms could be around. Sunday looks a little wetter/stormier than Saturday. Winds should be light out of the S/SE. Overnight lows should range from near-60 to mid-60s from elevations to coasts as conditions remain unsettled into Monday morning.

An early look at next week indicates run-of-mill, get ready for summer, conditions. Highs in the lower-80s with some humidity, lows staying above 60 for most, and daily chances for iso showers/storms (likely during afternoon-evening hours). Lets take a closer look on Sunday. Everyone have a great weekend and please be safe! JC

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Jonathan Carr
By June 9, 2022 13:48