Less than 48 Hours Until Warmth

Discussion: My goodness yesterday was chilly for the time of year. I didn’t make it out of the upper-40s. A few nights just below freezing and even some isolated mixed precip the other morning. Goodbye and good riddance to that air mass. It was a combination of onshore flow and lower geopotential heights which dominated the recent chilly pattern. Ridging is now (Friday) already building in and that should last through at least next weekend. First, we deal with one final colder night tonight (Friday). The NWS has frost advisories in place until 9AM tomorrow (Saturday) morning. Today (Friday) already feels better than yesterday (Thursday) and Saturday will continue the improved feel but won’t be there just yet. Sunday will feature spring champion weather conditions as mother nature firmly reminds us what’s coming. It might even feel too warm for some away from the ocean. It’s the first time this year I’ll use the term humidity. And that will set the stage for a warm/hot Monday-Wednesday, some warm rain Thursday-Friday, and a drier (but somewhat still unsettled) more seasonal next weekend. It is worth noting that AM fog is possible Sunday as a warm and humid air mass moves into a departing colder frost-producing air mass. Such would bake off fast and then it’s on.

Friday (April 26) high temperatures, as of 4pm Friday, are just over 60 away from the ocean but a much chillier 48-55 range for ECNJ/SENJ coastal areas and about 20 miles inland. Skies should remain clear through overnight hours. Winds should remain light out of the E/NE. Overnight lows should fall back into the 30s for most areas away from the ocean. Upper-30s to lower-40s for ECNJ/SENJ coastal areas. Another cold night tonight (Friday).

Saturday (April 27) high temperatures should eventually reach the mid-60s for most NJ locations with coastal areas likely hanging in the mid-to-upper 50s. Skies should be mixed with sun and clouds with rain showers possible during afternoon/evening hours. Rain looks very light and scattered at best, possibly just isolated. Many could miss it with only a few areas seeing some. Far from a washout though. Hard to even call it a rainy day for NJ. Winds should be light out of the S. Overnight lows should hover in the 45-50 range with more isolated passing showers around.

Sunday (April 28) high temperatures should reach well into the 70s for most NJ locations. I won’t be surprised if inland areas break 80. Even coastal areas should push to near-70 before any kind of sea breeze front tries to roll in. Some humidity should be felt. Can’t rule out AM fog with the arriving warm and humid air mass. Once any fog bakes off, skies should be mixed with more sun than clouds. Winds should be light out of the SW. Overnight lows should fall into the 55-60 range for most NJ locations.

An early look at next week indicates 70+ for most, if not all, NJ locations straight through next weekend. Coasties might struggle to escape the 60s from marine influence but all other areas are on for warmth. It actually looks like quite the warm snap Monday-Wednesday with many locations breaking into the 80s possibly flirting with 90. Some rain Thursday into Friday (stays warm) then levels NJ off to highs in the sweet spot (65-75) for next weekend and beyond. It does look a bit unsettled starting next weekend but not synoptic rain storms, more like spring showers. Have a great weekend and please be safe! JC

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Jonathan Carr

Jonathan Carr (JC) is the founder and sole operator of Weather NJ, New Jersey’s largest independent weather reporting agency. Since 2010, Jonathan has provided weather safety and forecasting services for New Jersey and immediate surrounding areas through the web, social media, and app spaces. Originally branded as Severe NJ Weather (before 2014), Weather NJ is proud to bring you accurate and responsible discussions ahead of high-stakes weather scenarios that impact the garden state. All Weather. All New Jersey.™