NJ Long Range Outlook – Closing Out October

It’s time to harness the true power of WeatherTrend360’s proprietary algorithms again as we close out October and head into November. First lets break New Jersey into proper climatological regions. We have the upper elevations of NWNJ, the interior coastal plain (SWNJ through CNJ and into NENJ), and the coastal regions (most of SENJ). I’ll be representing each climatological region with a 28-day graph from weathertrends360 data followed by a brief discussion. Keep in mind that these algorithms are 84% accurate and are based on oceanic water cycles and time table series. It’s not 100% but better than everything else out there.

Zone 1: Higher Elevations of NWNJ (Sussex, Warren, Hunterdon, Morris, N. Somerset, and N. Passaic) – Known for little to no Atlantic Ocean influence, colder-snowier winters, and drier conditions in general when compared to the coast. This region is known to get hot when high pressure sits overhead during the summer.

Zone 1 Discussion: The first two noticeable features are the current colder temperatures and the low pressure disturbance being reflected in the October 21-23 period. It looks like a week of nice fall weather afterwards with highs in the upper 50s/lower 60s and lows in the upper 30s/lower 40s (watch out for foggy mornings near bodies of water). That will close out October. An early peak at November indicates seasonably average temperature drop with a few wet periods as we eye up Winter 2014-2015.

Zone 2: Interior Coastal Plain (Salem, Gloucester, Camden, W. Burlington, Mercer, W. Monmouth, Middlesex, Union, Essex, Hudson, Bergen, and S. Passaic) – Known for naturally higher temperatures due to lower elevations away from the oceanic influence. This region is also known as “heat island” due to transportation (I-95 corridor), smog, abundant asphalt, concrete, and other man-made structures that naturally absorb heat (Heat Island).

Zone 2 Discussion: The first two noticeable features are the current colder temperatures and the low pressure disturbance being reflected in the October 21-23 period. It looks like a week of nice fall weather afterwards with highs mostly in the 60s and lows mostly in the 40s (watch out for foggy mornings near bodies of water). That will close out October. An early peak at November indicates seasonably average temperature drop with a few wet periods as we eye up Winter 2014-2015.

Zone 3: Coastal Regions (Cumberland, Cape May, Atlantic, E. Burlington, Ocean, and E. Monmouth) – Known for tremendous influence from the Atlantic Ocean. Oceanic influence keeps this zone cooler in the summer and warmer in the winter than the interior coastal plain and especially the higher elevations of NWNJ.

Zone 3 Discussion: The first two noticeable features are the current colder temperatures and the low pressure disturbance being reflected in the October 21-23 period. It looks like a week of nice fall weather afterwards with highs mostly in the 60s and lows mostly in the 40s (watch out for foggy mornings near bodies of water). That will close out October. An early peak at November indicates seasonably average temperature drop with a few wet periods as we eye up Winter 2014-2015.

Weathertrends360 is a complete, global, web solution to help retailers and suppliers capitalize on the weather and its influence on sales and marketing plans up to a year ahead. Learn how to become PROACTIVE vs REACTIVE with the weather in every phase of your business – how much inventory to buy/produce, where to allocate more/less, when to run weather-optimized advertising/marketing campaigns – weathertrends360 can help you determine all of this in minutes! 84% independently audited accuracy for both short-term and year-ahead forecasts for temperature and precipitation.

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I took this picture in Historic Batsto Village. Enjoy the rest of your October and please be safe! JC

Jonathan Carr

Jonathan Carr (JC) is the founder and sole operator of Weather NJ, New Jersey’s largest independent weather reporting agency. Since 2010, Jonathan has provided weather safety and forecasting services for New Jersey and immediate surrounding areas through the web, social media, and app spaces. Originally branded as Severe NJ Weather (before 2014), Weather NJ is proud to bring you accurate and responsible discussions ahead of high-stakes weather scenarios that impact the garden state. All Weather. All New Jersey.™