Mild Before Heat Arrives

Jonathan Carr
By April 10, 2026 15:53

Mild Before Heat Arrives

Discussion: The upper-levels indicate a gradually developing ridge for the E US from now until about April 20ish. This signals prolonged mild temperatures (likely above average) for at least that stretch. There will likely be some kind of synoptic rainmaker April 20-22 when a transient trough swings through. Then it looks like we’ll return to our climatological temperature rise late-April into May. For this weekend, a weak upper-level disturbance is floating W to E across the NE US Friday evening. This will drag a rather dry cold front through NJ late Friday night into early Saturday morning (some sprinkles/iso showers possible). But then that’s it for rain this weekend. Both Saturday and Sunday look dry with highs breaking 60 each day and possibly 70 away from the ocean in CNJ/SNJ. Saturday a few degrees warmer than Sunday but not a huge difference. The higher angle sun should allow for optimal “get stuff done outside” conditions IMO. Then next week we step into 2nd gear of warmth for Mon-Tues (70s) and then a third gear Wed-Thurs where 80s should be common across much of NJ. We need rain…more rain than we’ve seen as forest fire risks continue to grow from abundant warm, dry and breezy days.  

Forecast

Friday (April 10) high temperatures made it into the lower-70s for many NJ areas away from the ocean. NENJ down through the ECNJ/SENJ coastal regions however stayed mostly in the 50s/60s with immediate barrier islands and coasts hanging in the 40s. Quite the temperature gradient. Skies should remain clear through sunset but increase in cloudiness into the overnight. Winds should remain light out of the W/SW overnight as temps drop just below 50 statewide. Can’t rule out a passing isolated shower or two into Saturday morning.

Saturday (April 11) high temperatures should reach into the 60s for most NJ areas. Interior CNJ/SNJ could take a run at 70. Skies should be mostly sunny. Winds should be light-to-breezy out of the N/NW. Overnight lows should range from near-freezing in NNJ elevations to mid-40s along the coast, with most of NJ falling into the mid-to-upper 30s.

Sunday (April 12) high temperatures should reach the low-to-mid 60s for most NJ areas. Skies should start mostly sunny but increase in cloudiness by sundown. Winds should be light out of the S/SE, perhaps breezy at times along the ECNJ/SENJ coasts.

An early look at next week (April 13-17) indicates some lasting warmth. Seeing lots of 70s, even 80s mid-week for highs. Overnight lows 55-60. There are not too many rain chances so we’ll have to keep forest fire risks and concerns in-mind due to lack of recent rainfall, dry air masses and breezy conditions. Everyone have a great weekend and please be safe! JC

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Jonathan Carr
By April 10, 2026 15:53

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