Mixed Conditions Expected (March 18-22)

Jonathan Carr
By Jonathan Carr March 18, 2019 13:48

Mixed Conditions Expected (March 18-22)

Discussion: A weak disturbance passed through today bringing very light precipitation mostly across Delmarva and maybe skimming extreme SNJ. No cause for snow concern given the above-freezing surface temp profile. In-fact not much of anything has fallen at all. This will clear out and then high pressure should have control. The front-side of the high (as it approaches) should keep us cooler Monday-Wednesday. The high’s back-side return flow should then warm us up for a cloudy/rainy Thursday. A developing SE Canadian low and approaching high should team up for colder northerly flow for Friday and Saturday. But then Sunday into next week looks mild. We’re talking about sustainable highs in the 50s and 60s for NJ. Who knows how high we’ll reach this Sunday but I’m willing to bet someone cracks 70 away from the ocean in CNJ or SNJ. Beyond next week is uncertain but it’s reasonable to assume a few more shorter-duration cold periods are possible to close out March and begin April. The mild periods however should noticeably increase in duration as we move through early Spring.

Monday (Mar 18) high temperatures should reach the low-to-mid 40s for most. Skies should be partly-to-mostly cloudy. Winds should be light out of the W/NW for most perhaps more of an onshore direction for immediate coastal areas. Overnight lows should range from low-20s to low-30s NNJ to SNJ.

Tuesday (Mar 19) high temperatures should reach well into the 40s for most. Interior CNJ/SNJ has a shot to break 50. Skies should be mixed with sun and clouds. Winds should be light out of the W/NW for most but out of the E for immediate coastal regions. Overnight lows should range from low-20s to low-30s NNJ to SNJ.

Wednesday (Mar 20) high temperatures should reach into the 50s for most. Immediate coastal areas could hang in the 40s with light onshore flow. Skies should be mostly sunny. Winds should be light out of the SW for most aside from the immediate coastal light onshore flow. Overnight lows should range from mid-30s to lower-40s NNJ to SNJ.

Thursday (Mar 21) high temperatures should reach into the 50s for most. Skies should be mostly cloudy with a few rain showers around. Winds should be light out of the SE. Overnight lows should range from near-30 to near-40 NNJ to SNJ.

Friday (Mar 22) high temperatures should reach near-50 for most. Skies should be mostly sunny. Winds should be breezy out of the NW. Overnight lows should range from mid-20s to mid-30s NNJ to SNJ.

An early look at the weekend indicates a cooler Saturday (similar to Friday) followed by a mild Sunday-forward with sustained temperatures in the 50s and 60s. Since we’ll have colder N flow on Saturday a passing rain shower or flurries are not off the table. Otherwise no late-season snow events are on the horizon at this time. Let it go Indiana. Let it go. Everyone have a great week and please be safe! JC

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Jonathan Carr
By Jonathan Carr March 18, 2019 13:48