More Heat

Discussion: A weak disturbance brough clouds and light rain through overnight and today but that’s pushing further offshore now (Monday afternoon). We’ll gradually improve tonight before SW flow resumes for the region and sends us back into a hot and humid pattern. Please stay as cool and hydrated as your situation allows for. The Bermuda high continues to rage with low-mid level flow oscillating between W and SW. This is creating very cold ocean temperatures, for this time of year, via Eckman Spiral. We need NE winds to warm it up not SW. A hat tip to Chris Huch for teaching me about that. Many of you have asked why the ocean temperatures have been so cold. That’s why…Google Eckman Spiral. Thursday looks like the hottest and most humid day of the week before we return to just regular hot and humid for the weekend. Still no widespread rainstorms expected anytime soon as the drought develops further. Seeing some possible transient relief from the heat early next week and maybe some prolonged relief by the end of next week. It’s about time for that first cold front of the year to remind us that we’ve began our initial descent towards fall.

Monday (Aug 1) high temperatures are maxing in the 70s. Extreme SNJ is near or just over 80. Skies have been cloudy for most of the day, even with some drizzle through afternoon. It is possible that the sun could break through in a few spots prior to sundown. Winds are very light out of the W/NW. Overnight lows should range from 65-75 from elevations to coasts.

Tuesday (Aug 2) high temperatures should reach near or just above 90 for most areas. Skies should be mixed with a humid feel. Can’t rule out an isolated pop-up shower or thunderstorm, especially during PM hours. Winds should be light out of the W/SW. Overnight lows should range from lower-60s to lower-70s from elevations to coasts.

Wednesday (Aug 3) high temperatures should reach into the lower-90s for most areas. Skies should be mostly sunny with maybe some friendly clouds closer to the ocean. Elevated humidity but not unbearable. Winds should be light out of the W/NW. Overnight lows should range from mid-60s to mid-70s from elevations to coasts.

Thursday (Aug 4) high temperatures should reach well into the 90s and possibly break 100 for the typical warmer locations away from the ocean. Skies should be mostly sunny with a very humid feel. Can’t rule out a stray pop-up. Could be the hottest day of the year. Winds should be light out of the SW. Overnight lows should stay above 70 statewide.

Friday (Aug 5) high temperatures should hover around 90 for most areas. NWNJ has the best chance for lesser humidity. Otherwise, the further S you are in NJ, the hotter and more humid you should be. Skies should be mixed with sun and clouds with showers and thunderstorms around, especially during afternoon-evening hours. Winds should be light out of the S/SW. Overnight lows should again stay above 70 for most areas less the NWNJ elevations.

An early look at the weekend indicates more highs nearing 90 with mixed skies and PM thunderstorm chances. Let’s see how it looks in a few days.

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Jonathan Carr

Jonathan Carr (JC) is the founder and sole operator of Weather NJ, New Jersey’s largest independent weather reporting agency. Since 2010, Jonathan has provided weather safety and forecasting services for New Jersey and immediate surrounding areas through the web, social media, and app spaces. Originally branded as Severe NJ Weather (before 2014), Weather NJ is proud to bring you accurate and responsible discussions ahead of high-stakes weather scenarios that impact the garden state. All Weather. All New Jersey.™