Storms to Break the Heat

Discussion: The upper jet will stay to the N of NJ through Saturday. On Sunday it will dip below NJ and usher in a trough. 500mb analysis correlates with this…ridging today (Friday) and tomorrow (Saturday) with the trough following for Sunday through at least mid-next week. As of right now, the Saturday night/Sunday morning cold front looks spotty. Not seeing any solid linear stormfronts. Just an area of spotty showers and thunderstorms mainly Saturday PM. More of the “hit or miss” type stuff. But then we dry (both rain-wise and humidity-wise) Sunday into next week. The dew point temperatures in the 50s, maybe as low as 40s for NNJ elevations, should feel remarkable Sunday-forward. But for today (Friday) and tomorrow (Saturday), we need to continue staying hydrated and as cool as your situation allows. The storms will break the heat.

Friday (July 28) high temperatures were disgusting and oppressive as expected. Highs well over 90 and dew points well over 70 making for heat indices of 100+ and in some spots 110. We’re over the hump though (as of 5pm Friday) and we’ll gradually fall to about the mid-70s overnight…still very humid. Can’t rule out some overnight pop-up showers or thunderstorms.

Saturday (July 29) high temperatures should break 90 for most areas again. Skies should be mixed with sun and clouds with a hazy and humid feel. Showers and thunderstorms are possible with PM hours more favorable for such. Winds should be light out of the W/SW becoming NW overnight as temps fall to the 65-70 range in tandem with a cold front.

Sunday (July 30) high temperatures should reach the low-to-mid 80s with noticeably less humidity. Skies should be mixed with more sun than clouds. Winds should be light out of the NW. Overnight lows should range from 55-70 from NNJ elevations to SNJ coasts.

An early look at next week indicates the break in temperatures sustaining. Highs should max in the low-to-mid 80s. Humidity will likely gradually build from pleasant to a little sticky by the end of next week, but overall a lot better-feeling than recent days. Have a great weekend and please be safe! JC

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Jonathan Carr

Jonathan Carr (JC) is the founder and sole operator of Weather NJ, New Jersey’s largest independent weather reporting agency. Since 2010, Jonathan has provided weather safety and forecasting services for New Jersey and immediate surrounding areas through the web and social media. Originally branded as Severe NJ Weather (before 2014), Weather NJ is proud to bring you accurate and responsible discussions ahead of high-stakes weather scenarios that impact the garden state. All Weather. All New Jersey.™