Summery (Aug 5-9)

Jonathan Carr
By Jonathan Carr August 4, 2019 18:38

Summery (Aug 5-9)

Discussion: Real quick, that’s my beautiful wife and I at the beach. The other night we were able to sneak over to Long Beach Island and leverage some pre-sunset “golden hour” lighting. Our baby girl is due any day now and we can’t wait to meet her! Now back to the weather…
The warm, humid and unsettled pattern should continue through about Thursday followed by relief for Friday through the weekend. The upper-jet looks fairly flat and zonal through NJ with the exception of a few kinks and trough arrival. 500mb geopotential height anomalies should remain near-neutral to start this week but slowly deepen below-average with the upper-level trough. By the weekend we should be under a W/NW jet of cool air at most atmospheric layers. Sea surface temperatures continue to warm above-average and the heart of hurricane season is on-deck. There’s nothing to consider now but it wouldn’t take long for something to pop up off the SE US. The Cape Verde region through the Caribbean is mostly quiet for now due to dry air intrusion from the Sahara Desert. I’ll report accordingly as anything forms.

Monday (Aug 5) high temperatures should reach the mid-80s for most areas. Skies should be partly sunny with a slightly drier feel (felt moreso in NNJ than SNJ). Isolated showers and thunderstorms might be around especially for SNJ. Winds should be light out of the E/NE. Overnight lows should range from mid-60s to near-70 NNJ to SNJ.  

Tuesday (Aug 6) high temperatures should reach the mid-80s for most areas. Skies should be partly sunny and humid with showers and thunderstorms possible during PM hours. Winds should be light out of the S. Overnight lows should fall into the upper-60s/lower-70s for most areas.

Wednesday (Aug 7) high temperatures should reach into the 80s for most areas. Interior CNJ/SNJ might flirt with 90. Skies should be partly sunny and humid with showers and thunderstorms possible. Winds should be light out of the S. Overnight lows should fall to near-70 for most areas maybe mid-to-upper 60s for NNJ elevations.  

Thursday (Aug 8) high temperatures should reach into the 80s for most areas. Interior CNJ/SNJ have the best chance to break 90. Skies should be partly sunny and humid. Winds should be light out of the SW. Overnight lows should range from mid-60s to lower-70s NNJ to SNJ.

Friday (Aug 9) high temperatures should reach the low-to-mid 80s for most areas. Skies should partly sunny with a drier feel statewide. Winds should be light out of the W/NW. Overnight lows should range from mid-50s to mid-60s.

An early look at the weekend indicates pretty good conditions as of now. Seeing highs struggling to escape the upper-70s/low-80s range with lower humidity. This would feel fantastic if it holds. Let’s take another look in a few days. Have a great week and please be safe! JC

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Jonathan Carr
By Jonathan Carr August 4, 2019 18:38