Wet Start. Beautiful Finish. (July 14-16)

If we can make it through Friday then Saturday and Sunday look pretty good.

Discussion: It’s rather uneventful above 18K feet this weekend. At the mid levels and surface, we’re looking at a very unsettled Friday followed by a break in the pattern for Saturday and part of Sunday. Friday’s rain and storms will be due to frontal activity attached to a low in the Northeast US. Once that clears out by early Saturday morning, the rest of the weekend looks mostly dry. Saturday looks to feature the most relief from humidity as such should begin building again on Sunday. Next week looks like another unsettled hazy, hot and humid setup.

Friday (July 14) high temperatures should reach the mid-80s in SNJ but maybe only the mid-70s for NNJ due to CNJ frontal boundary location. Skies should be partly-to-mostly cloudy with heavy downpours and thunderstorms possible. Thunderstorms could again reach severe criteria with SNJ favored over NNJ. I wouldn’t say total washout but 1-3 hour periods of GTFI weather are certainly possible. Overnight lows should fall into the 60s for most but maybe only the lower-70s for extreme SNJ. Rainy and Stormy conditions could persist into early Saturday morning.

Saturday (July 15) high temperatures should reach into the 80s statewide. Skies should be partly-to-mostly sunny with a drier feel. Give it until 8AM for Friday-overnight rain to clear. Winds should be light out of the NW. Overnight lows should fall into the 60s statewide.

Sunday (July 16) high temperatures should reach the mid-to-upper 80s for most. CNJ/SNJ areas away from the ocean could break 90. Skies should be mostly sunny with noticeable humidity trickling back in. Winds should be light out of the W/SW. Overnight lows should fall into the 60s statewide.

An early look at next week indicates more unsettled hazy, hot and humid conditions. Everyone have a great weekend and please be safe! JC

Jonathan Carr

Jonathan Carr (JC) is the founder and sole operator of Weather NJ, New Jersey’s largest independent weather reporting agency. Since 2010, Jonathan has provided weather safety and forecasting services for New Jersey and immediate surrounding areas through the web, social media, and app spaces. Originally branded as Severe NJ Weather (before 2014), Weather NJ is proud to bring you accurate and responsible discussions ahead of high-stakes weather scenarios that impact the garden state. All Weather. All New Jersey.™