Wet Start. Cold Dry Finish (Nov 26-30)

Discussion: The +PNA/-NAO/-AO pattern is in-place but a Mid-Atlantic winter storm will likely not happen this week. Instead a series of low transfers (Great Lakes->Gulf of Maine->Nova Scotia) should occur and eventually produce a very strong storm well to our E. This low transfer track is too warm for NJ snow. Therefore Monday looks wet with a cold/dry Tuesday-Friday/Saturday. The next precip chance would then be for the second half of the weekend. After the extended period of cold W/NW flow this week we’ll have to watch at least NWNJ for a slippery onset. No major winter storms to close out November though.

Monday (Nov 26) high temperatures should range from mid-40s to mid-50s. Skies should be mostly cloudy. Rainfall is likely, possibly heavy at times. Winds should be light-to-breezy out of the SE. Overnight lows should fall into the 30s statewide.

Tuesday (Nov 27) high temperatures should reach the mid-40s for most. Skies should be partly sunny. Winds should be breezy-to-gusty out of the W/NW. Overnight lows should fall to near-30s for most.

Wednesday (Nov 28) high temperatures should reach the low-to-mid 40s for most. Skies should be partly sunny. Winds should remain stiff out of the W/NW. Overnight lows should fall into the 30s for most.

Thursday (Nov 29) high temperatures should reach the low-to-mid 40s for most. Skies should be partly sunny. Winds should be light-to-breezy out of the W/NW. Overnight lows should range from mid-20s to near-freezing NNJ to SNJ.

Friday (Nov 30) high temperatures should reach the low-to-mid 40s for most. Skies should be partly-to-mostly cloudy. Winds should be light out of the W. Overnight lows should fall into the 30s for most.

An early look at the weekend indicates milder conditions with Saturday likely the better day of the weekend. Sunday could feature more rain with possibly some wintry precip for NWNJ elevations. Let’s see how it looks in a few days. Have a great week and please be safe! JC

Jonathan Carr

Jonathan Carr (JC) is the founder and sole operator of Weather NJ, New Jersey’s largest independent weather reporting agency. Since 2010, Jonathan has provided weather safety and forecasting services for New Jersey and immediate surrounding areas through the web, social media, and app spaces. Originally branded as Severe NJ Weather (before 2014), Weather NJ is proud to bring you accurate and responsible discussions ahead of high-stakes weather scenarios that impact the garden state. All Weather. All New Jersey.™