Winter Returns (Jan 7-11)

Discussion: Tonight’s temperatures should bottom out pretty low. Monday should warm as light precipitation moves in for Monday night into Tuesday morning. There’s some wintry precip concern for NNJ as precip arrives Monday night. Everyone else should see all rain. We’ll then deal with another mild period in the Tuesday-Wednesday time-frame. After that, it’s time for winter to return with bitter-cold temperatures and possibly accumulating snowfall this weekend. This should be the start of the stratospheric warming and Polar Vortex split impacts for us. It should definitely be cold enough for snow to stick given the Wednesday PM-Saturday setup. The question is how far the expected disturbance tracks up the coast for the weekend. You can count on me tracking this very closely this week. Finally winter returns.

Monday (Jan 7) high temperatures should struggle to escape the 30s statewide. Skies should start partly cloudy and increase in cloud coverage throughout the day. Winds should be light out of the E/NE. Overnight lows should range from mid-20s to mid-30s as light precipitation moves through. Areas cold enough (mainly NNJ and maybe some parts of CNJ) could see frozen precipitation in the form of snow or freezing rain.

Tuesday (Jan 8) high temperatures should range from mid-40s to lower-50s NNJ to SNJ. AM showers should clear to partly cloudy skies. Winds should be light out of the S/SW. Overnight lows should fall to near-40 for most.

Wednesday (Jan 9) high temperatures should reach the low-to-mid 40s for most. Skies should be partly sunny with scattered light rain possible. Winds should be breezy out of the W/NW. Overnight lows should fall to near-30 for most.

Thursday (Jan 10) high temperatures should struggle to escape the 30s statewide. Skies should feature a mix of sun and clouds. Winds should be breezy, possibly gusty at times, out of the NW. Overnight lows should range from teens to 20s NNJ to SNJ…possibly even lower if winds relax under clearing skies.

Friday (Jan 11) high temperatures should only reach the upper-20s/lower-30s for most. There’s a good chance most of NJ doesn’t escape below-freezing temperatures. Skies should be mostly sunny. Winds should be light out of the NW. Overnight lows should range from single-digits to upper-teens NNJ to SNJ.

An early look at the weekend indicates continued below-average temperatures as we track potential NJ impacts from a winter storm. You know I’ll be keeping you in the loop. I hope you are enjoying the new Weather NJ mobile app on Apple and Android. Have a great week and please be safe! JC

Jonathan Carr

Jonathan Carr (JC) is the founder and sole operator of Weather NJ, New Jersey’s largest independent weather reporting agency. Since 2010, Jonathan has provided weather safety and forecasting services for New Jersey and immediate surrounding areas through the web, social media, and app spaces. Originally branded as Severe NJ Weather (before 2014), Weather NJ is proud to bring you accurate and responsible discussions ahead of high-stakes weather scenarios that impact the garden state. All Weather. All New Jersey.™